title: Time for a new approach to medical workforce planning.
abstract: There are concerns that Australia is facing an impending shortage in the medical workforce, and there are significant changes occurring in key determinants of medical workforce supply and demand. To date, workforce planning has not taken into account the full range of dynamic variables that are involved, nor accounted for their inherent uncertainty and complex interactions. Future planning will require more careful monitoring and dynamic modelling within a full healthcare system perspective.
authors.affiliation: Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University Medical School, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. catherine.joyce@med.monash.edu.au
authors.forename: Catherine M
authors.initials: CM
authors.lastname: Joyce
authors.forename: John J
authors.initials: JJ
authors.lastname: McNeil
authors.forename: Johannes U
authors.initials: JU
authors.lastname: Stoelwinder
mesh_terms: D001315:Australia; D002321:Career Choice; D004503:Education, Medical, Graduate / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D005544:Forecasting; D006285:Health Planning / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D007588:Job Satisfaction; D008507:Medically Underserved Area; D020380:Needs Assessment / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D010820:Physicians / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D011336:Probability; D013269:Stochastic Processes