title: Estimating blood donor loss due to the variant CJD travel deferral.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  The FDA recommended new travel deferrals in May 2002 to prevent the potential transmission of variant CJD (vCJD). The predicted impact of such deferrals on the blood supply was controversial.
  
  
  METHODS
  We distributed anonymous, self-administered questionnaires to donors over 2 weeks in April 2002. Two thousand surveys were allocated to each of five geographic groupings of blood centers in the western and central US. Results were analyzed with chi-squared tests and logistic regression.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Of 9800 surveys, 7405 (76%) were returned and analyzed. Overall, 257 (3.47%; 95% CI, 3.05-3.89) donors responding to the survey met the expanded May and November 2002 FDA vCJD travel criteria for deferral. Deferral rates ranged from 1 percent or less in Northern and Southern centers, 3 to 4 percent in San Francisco, California, and Scottsdale, Arizona, to over 13 percent in El Paso, Texas (p < 0.0001). Service at a European military base was the most common reason for deferral, whereas in San Francisco most deferrals were for UK and European travel or residence. The vCJD deferral was also associated with ages 30 through 49 years and with male gender. During June through September 2002, observed deferral rates were 1.6 percent at the same centers.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Predicted deferrals due the new vCJD travel criteria depend upon the number of military donors at a blood center, as well as on the age and gender of donors. Actual deferrals were lower than predicted by an anonymous survey.
authors.affiliation: University of California and Blood Centers of the Pacific, San Francisco, California, USA. murphy@itsa.ucsf.edu
authors.forename: Edward L
authors.initials: EL
authors.lastname: Murphy
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: David Connor
authors.forename: Patrick
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: McEvoy
authors.forename: Nora
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Hirschler
authors.forename: Michael P
authors.initials: MP
authors.lastname: Busch
authors.forename: Paula
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Roberts
authors.forename: Kim-Ank
authors.initials: KA
authors.lastname: Nguyen
authors.forename: Pascale
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Reich
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D001782:Blood Donors; D007562:Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome / Q000635:transmission*; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D012737:Sex Factors; D014195:Travel