Predicting self-reported health: the CORDIS study.
BACKGROUND
There have been few attempts to determine factors important in predicting subsequent self-reported health (SRH) in population studies of men or women.


METHODS
In the following study, we determine the predictive value of behavioral and biomedical risk factors for self-evaluated health 7.7-11.5 years later in 2,962 male industrial workers.


RESULTS
We found that age [odds ratio (OR) per 10 years = 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.30,1.74], current smoking (OR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.23,2.16), higher systolic blood pressure (SBP) measurements (OR = 1.16 per 10 mm Hg, 95% CI = 1.03,1.31), use of chronic medications (OR =2.75, 95% CI = 2.03,3.71), diabetes mellitus (OR = 2.83, 95% CI = 1.73-4.63), low educational status (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.23, 2.25), and lack of regular leisure sports activity (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.04, 2.17) significantly added to a logistic regression model predicting poorer self-evaluated health 7.7-11.5 years later ]area under the receiver-operator curve (ROC) = 76.0%]. There was a trend for poorer self-rated health in the obese workers (OR = 1.40, 95% CI = 0.97-2.01).


CONCLUSIONS
Behavioral and biomedical risk factors for mortality predict self-evaluated health 7.7-11.5 years later.
Froom
Paul
P
National Institute of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Raanana and Sackler Medical School, University of Tel Aviv, Israel. paulfr@ioh.org.il
Melamed
Samuel
S
Triber
Israel
I
Ratson
Nava Z
NZ
Hermoni
Doron
D
D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D001794:Blood Pressure / Q000502:physiology*; D002617:Chemical Industry; D048909:Diabetes Complications; D015444:Exercise; D006306:Health Surveys; D006801:Humans; D006973:Hypertension / Q000150:complications / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000503:physiopathology*; D007557:Israel / Q000453:epidemiology; D007585:Jews; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D009765:Obesity / Q000150:complications; D012307:Risk Factors; D012650:Self Disclosure; D012907:Smoking; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D011795:Surveys and Questionnaires