title: Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble.
abstract: Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.
authors.affiliation: IES/REM, Joint Research Center, TP 321 21020 Ispra, Italy. stefano.galmarini@jrc.it
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authors.lastname: Galmarini
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authors.lastname: Mikkelsen
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authors.lastname: Bompay
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authors.lastname: Buckley
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authors.lastname: Bouzom
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authors.lastname: Geertsema
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authors.lastname: Glaab
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authors.lastname: Prodanova
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authors.lastname: Saltbones
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authors.lastname: Slaper
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authors.lastname: Sofiev
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authors.lastname: Syrakov
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authors.lastname: Sørensen
authors.forename: L
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authors.lastname: Van der Auwera
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authors.lastname: Valkama
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mesh_terms: D000392:Air Movements; D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive / Q000032:analysis*; D003198:Computer Simulation; D003660:Decision Support Systems, Management / Q000458:organization & administration; D004189:Disaster Planning / Q000379:methods* / Q000458:organization & administration; D004630:Emergencies; D004784:Environmental Monitoring / Q000379:methods; D005060:Europe; D005544:Forecasting; D007391:International Cooperation; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011210:Power Plants; D011829:Radiation Dosage; D011835:Radiation Protection / Q000379:methods*; D011847:Radioactive Fallout / Q000032:analysis*; D018788:Radioactive Hazard Release; D011874:Radiometry / Q000379:methods*; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D017751:Safety Management / Q000379:methods* / Q000458:organization & administration
chemical_list: D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive; D011847:Radioactive Fallout