Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble.
Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.
Galmarini
S
S
IES/REM, Joint Research Center, TP 321 21020 Ispra, Italy. stefano.galmarini@jrc.it
Bianconi
R
R
Klug
W
W
Mikkelsen
T
T
Addis
R
R
Andronopoulos
S
S
Astrup
P
P
Baklanov
A
A
Bartniki
J
J
Bartzis
J C
JC
Bellasio
R
R
Bompay
F
F
Buckley
R
R
Bouzom
M
M
Champion
H
H
D'Amours
R
R
Davakis
E
E
Eleveld
H
H
Geertsema
G T
GT
Glaab
H
H
Kollax
M
M
Ilvonen
M
M
Manning
A
A
Pechinger
U
U
Persson
C
C
Polreich
E
E
Potemski
S
S
Prodanova
M
M
Saltbones
J
J
Slaper
H
H
Sofiev
M A
MA
Syrakov
D
D
Sørensen
J H
JH
Van der Auwera
L
L
Valkama
I
I
Zelazny
R
R
D000392:Air Movements; D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive / Q000032:analysis*; D003198:Computer Simulation; D003660:Decision Support Systems, Management / Q000458:organization & administration; D004189:Disaster Planning / Q000379:methods* / Q000458:organization & administration; D004630:Emergencies; D004784:Environmental Monitoring / Q000379:methods; D005060:Europe; D005544:Forecasting; D007391:International Cooperation; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011210:Power Plants; D011829:Radiation Dosage; D011835:Radiation Protection / Q000379:methods*; D011847:Radioactive Fallout / Q000032:analysis*; D018788:Radioactive Hazard Release; D011874:Radiometry / Q000379:methods*; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D017751:Safety Management / Q000379:methods* / Q000458:organization & administration
D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive; D011847:Radioactive Fallout