title: An expert system for cutaneous blood flow in melanocytic skin lesions.
abstract: A basic tool in microcirculation research is laser Doppler fluxmetry (LDF). The chaotic behaviour of the measured LDF-time series acquires mathematical tools like, for instance, Wavelets. The notion of contrast is known as useful tool to measure differences between two LDF-time series [K. Bräuer, Chaos, Attraktoren und Fraktale, Logos, Berlin, 2002]. The one time series arises from the blood flow in healthy skin and the other from a pigmented symmetric contra lateral skin lesion. Our approach is based on taking the contrast from all shorter non-overlapping time intervals of approximate length 5 or 10 seconds. This gives a sample or more precisely, a time series of contrast values. Our goal is an expert system to decide between malign and beligne lesions by estimating the probability for a maligne lesion. As a data base we again use the same data set as [H.-M. Häfner, K. Bräuer, M. Eichner, A. Steins, M. Möhrle, A. Blum and M. Jünger, Wavelet analysis of cutaneous blood flow in melanocytic skin lesions, J. Vasc. Res., submitted]. The statistical tool is logistic regression. We can show that 93% of data are correctly classified. If we check the expert system against the independent data base of the Greifswald dermatology department we get 78% correctly classified cases. Further work must be done to find a well distributed data base for an expert release system.
authors.affiliation: University of Greifswald, Department of Dermatology, Germany. hermann_haase@web.de
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Haase
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Jünger
mesh_terms: D001783:Blood Flow Velocity / Q000502:physiology*; D006801:Humans; D017078:Laser-Doppler Flowmetry; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012867:Skin / Q000098:blood supply*; D012871:Skin Diseases / Q000097:blood / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000503:physiopathology*; D014463:Ultrasonography