Primary care physicians shortage: a Korean example.
BACKGROUND
A mismatch in the demand and supply of primary care physicians could give rise to a disorganization of the health care system and public confusion about health care access. There is much evidence in Korea of the existence of a primary care physician shortage. The appropriate required ratio of primary care physicians to the total number of physicians is estimated by analyzing data for primary care insurance consumption in Korea.


METHODS
Sums of primary care expenditure and claims were calculated to estimate the need for primary care physicians by analyzing the nationwide health insurance claims data of the Korean National Medical Insurance Management Corporation (KNMIMC) between the years 1989-1998.


RESULTS
The total number of physicians increased 183% from 1989 to 1998. However, the number of primary care physicians including general physicians, family physicians, general internists, and general pediatricians showed an increase of only 169% in those 10 years. The demand for primary care physicians reaches at least 58.6%, and up to 83.7%, of the total number of physicians in Korea. However, the number of primary care physicians comprises up to 22.0% of the total number of active physicians during the same research period, which showed a large gap between demand and supply of primary care physicians in Korea.


CONCLUSIONS
To provide high quality care overall, a balanced supply of primary care physicians and specialists is required, based on the nation's demand for health services.
Cho
Kyung-Hwan
KH
Department of Family Medicine, Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University Medical College, Seoul, Korea. chokh@korea.ac.kr
Roh
Yong-Kyun
YK
D003625:Data Collection / Q000379:methods; D005544:Forecasting; D005102:Health Expenditures; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D007345:Insurance Claim Review; D007723:Korea; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D010821:Physicians, Family / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D011320:Primary Health Care; D000078329:Workforce