title: A new model for predicting infectious complications during fludarabine-based combination chemotherapy among patients with indolent lymphoid malignancies.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Fludarabine-containing combination chemotherapy regimens are increasingly used in the treatment of indolent lymphoid malignancies, with the associated risk of infection being the major toxicity. Predictors of infection during fludarabine-containing combination therapy are poorly defined and optimal strategies for infection prophylaxis are not known. The authors analyzed their experience with patients treated with the fludarabine-mitoxantrone (FM) or fludarabine-cyclophosphamide (FC) regimens to develop a predictive model for infections.
  
  
  METHODS
  Ninety-two patients with indolent lymphoid malignancies were treated with FM (n = 29) or FC (n = 63). Baseline variables including age, gender, regimen, disease histology, previous therapy, time from diagnosis to current treatment, performance status, renal function, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), lymphocyte count, and immunoglobulin G levels were examined retrospectively for their association with risk of infectious complications during or within 4 weeks of therapy.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Six risk factors were associated with infectious complications: age > 60 years, > or = 3 previous therapies, previous fludarabine exposure, time from diagnosis to current treatment of > 3 years, performance status > or = 2, and baseline ANC < 2.0 x 10(9)/L. Compared with patients with 0-2 risk factors, patients with > or = 3 risk factors had higher infection rates (26% vs. 7% per cycle, P < 0.0001), more Grade 4 neutropenia (41% vs. 8% per cycle, P < 0.0001), and more neutropenic sepsis (15% vs. 1% per cycle, P < 0.0001).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Infection risk during fludarabine-containing combination chemotherapy was predicted with a model comprising six baseline risk factors. Patients predicted to be at high risk of infection were an appropriate group for consideration of prophylactic strategies.
authors.affiliation: Leukemia/Lymphoma Service, Department of Hematology, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, East Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
authors.forename: Constantine S
authors.initials: CS
authors.lastname: Tam
authors.forename: Max M
authors.initials: MM
authors.lastname: Wolf
authors.forename: E Henry
authors.initials: EH
authors.lastname: Januszewicz
authors.forename: Andrew P
authors.initials: AP
authors.lastname: Grigg
authors.forename: H Miles
authors.initials: HM
authors.lastname: Prince
authors.forename: David
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Westerman
authors.forename: John F
authors.initials: JF
authors.lastname: Seymour
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000971:Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / Q000009:adverse effects*; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007938:Leukemia / Q000150:complications / Q000188:drug therapy*; D008223:Lymphoma / Q000150:complications / Q000188:drug therapy*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009367:Neoplasm Staging; D009894:Opportunistic Infections / Q000209:etiology*; D012307:Risk Factors; D014740:Vidarabine / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000009:adverse effects / Q000031:analogs & derivatives*
chemical_list: D014740:Vidarabine; C024352:fludarabine