Predicted lifetimes for adult and pediatric split liver versus adult whole liver transplant recipients.
Split liver transplantation allows 2 recipients to receive transplants from one organ. Comparisons of predicted lifetimes for two alternatives (split liver for an adult and pediatric recipient vs. whole liver for an adult recipient) can help guide the use of donor livers. We analyzed mortality risk for 48,888 waitlisted candidates, 907 split and 21,913 whole deceased donor liver transplant recipients between January 1, 1995 and February 26, 2002. Cox regression models for pediatric and adult patients assessed average relative wait list and post-transplant death risks, for split liver recipients. Life years gained compared with remaining on the waiting list over a 2-year period were calculated. Seventy-six splits (152 recipients) and 24 re-transplants resulted from every 100 livers (13.1% [adult] and 18.0% [pediatric] 2-year re-transplant rates, respectively). Whole livers used for 93 adults also utilized 100 livers (re-transplant rate 7.0%). Eleven extra life years and 59 incremental recipients accrued from each 100 livers used for split compared with whole organ transplants. Split liver transplantation could provide enough organs to satisfy the entire current demand for pediatric donor livers in the United States, provide more aggregate years of life than whole organ transplants and result in larger numbers of recipients.
Department of Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. merionb@umich.edu
Robert M
RM
Merion
Sarah H
SH
Rush
Dawn M
DM
Dykstra
Nathan
N
Goodrich
Richard B
RB
Freeman
Robert A
RA
Wolfe
D000328:Adult; D002102:Cadaver; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006498:Hepatectomy / Q000379:methods*; D006801:Humans; D016031:Liver Transplantation / Q000401:mortality / Q000502:physiology*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012086:Reoperation / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D016019:Survival Analysis; D013997:Time Factors; D014019:Tissue Donors; D020858:Tissue and Organ Harvesting / Q000379:methods*; D016896:Treatment Outcome