title: Virus evolution within patients increases pathogenicity.
abstract: Viruses like the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the hepatitis B virus (HBV), the hepatitis C virus (HCV) and many others undergo numerous rounds of inaccurate reproduction within an infected host. The resulting viral quasispecies is heterogeneous and sensitive to any selection pressure. Here we extend earlier work by showing that for a wide class of models describing the interaction between the virus population and the immune system, virus evolution has a well-defined direction toward increased pathogenicity. In particular, we study virus-induced impairment of the immune response and certain cross-reactive stimulation of specific immune responses. For eight different mathematical models, we show that virus evolution reduces the equilibrium abundance of uninfected cells and increases the rate at which uninfected cells are infected. Thus, in general, virus evolution makes things worse. An idea for combating HIV infection, however, is constructing a virus mutant that could outcompete the existing infection without being pathogenic itself.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka 812-8581, Japan. yiwasacb@mbox.nc.kyushu-u.ac.jp
authors.forename: Yoh
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Iwasa
authors.forename: Franziska
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Michor
authors.forename: Martin A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Nowak
mesh_terms: D000956:Antigens, Viral / Q000276:immunology; D003429:Cross Reactions; D019143:Evolution, Molecular; D006678:HIV / Q000276:immunology / Q000472:pathogenicity; D006801:Humans; D007108:Immune Tolerance; D018448:Models, Immunological; D006377:T-Lymphocytes, Helper-Inducer / Q000276:immunology / Q000821:virology; D014774:Virulence; D014777:Virus Diseases / Q000276:immunology*; D014780:Viruses / Q000472:pathogenicity*
chemical_list: D000956:Antigens, Viral