title: Effective demand forecasting in 9 steps.
abstract: Effective forecasting of demand for healthcare services requires nine steps: 1. Assemble historical data. 2. Analyze historical trends. 3. Identify key demand drivers. 4. Identify relevant benchmarks. 5. Model existing conditions. 6. Develop core assumptions for population-based demand. 7. Develop core assumptions for provider-level demand. 8. Create a baseline forecast of future demand. 9. Test sensitivity of projections to changes in core assumptions.
authors.affiliation: Health Strategies & Solutions, Inc., Philadelphia, USA.
authors.forename: Hugo J
authors.initials: HJ
authors.lastname: Finarelli
authors.forename: Tracy
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Johnson
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand / Q000639:trends*; D006739:Hospital Administration / Q000639:trends*; D006760:Hospitalization; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011157:Population Dynamics; D014481:United States