title: Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control.
abstract: We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory is applicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.
authors.affiliation: Plasma Physics Division, Code 6792, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC 20375, USA.
authors.forename: Ira B
authors.initials: IB
authors.lastname: Schwartz
authors.forename: Lora
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Billings
authors.forename: Erik M
authors.initials: EM
authors.lastname: Bollt