Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control.
We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory is applicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.
Schwartz
Ira B
IB
Plasma Physics Division, Code 6792, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC 20375, USA.
Billings
Lora
L
Bollt
Erik M
EM