Issues in violent risk assessment: lessons learned and future directions.
Realizing that the assessment of dangerousness with a yes/no format as a poor form of violent risk assessment has been the most important lesson learned about violence in the last 20 years. Further examining (a) what outcome and (b) how the indicators of the outcome should be measured has resulted in better violent risk assessment. The most promising methodological innovation in violent risk assessment has been the introduction of the receiver operating characteristic to assess the efficiency of risk prediction. In the future, the tension between prediction and explanation of violence will need to be maintained while focusing on a mechanism-driven strategy of risk management.
Kroner
Daryl G
DG
Pittsburgh Institution, Kingston, Canada.
D000987:Antisocial Personality Disorder / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000517:prevention & control; D002648:Child; D002649:Child Abuse / Q000517:prevention & control*; D003617:Dangerous Behavior; D005260:Female; D005555:Forensic Psychiatry / Q000592:standards; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011322:Primary Prevention / Q000592:standards; D012107:Research Design / Q000592:standards; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors; D012308:Risk Management / Q000592:standards; D012742:Sex Offenses / Q000517:prevention & control*; D012931:Social Environment; D013179:Spouse Abuse / Q000517:prevention & control*; D013997:Time Factors; D014481:United States