title: Sea surface temperature 1871-2099 in 38 cells in the Caribbean region.
abstract: Sea surface temperature (SST) data with monthly resolution are provided for 38 cells in the Caribbean Sea and Bahamas region, plus Bermuda. These series are derived from the HadISST1 data set for historical time (1871-1999) and from the HadCM3 coupled climate model for predicted SST (1950-2099). Statistical scaling of the forecast data sets are performed to produce confluent SST series according to a now established method. These SST series are available for download. High water temperatures in 1998 killed enormous amounts of corals in tropical seas, though in the Caribbean region the effects at that time appeared less marked than in the Indo-Pacific. However, SSTs are rising in accordance with world-wide trends and it has been predicted that temperature will become increasingly important in this region in the near future. Patterns of SST rise within the Caribbean region are shown, and the importance of sub-regional patterns within this biologically highly interconnected area are noted.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biological Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK. charles.sheppard@warwick.ac.uk
authors.forename: Charles
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Sheppard
authors.forename: Rodolfo
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Rioja-Nieto
mesh_terms: D017691:Caribbean Region; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods*; D005843:Geography; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009792:Oceans and Seas; D012623:Seawater; D013696:Temperature