title: An investigation of home advantage and other factors affecting outcomes in English one-day cricket matches.
abstract: We examined the factors affecting the outcome of cricket matches played in the English one-day county cricket league. In particular, we focused on the home-field effect and the importance of winning the pre-match toss of a coin to determine a team's strategic decision to bat first or second. A home-field effect appeared to be confirmed in that home teams won 57% of all matches with a win/loss result. A logistical regression model was used, with the outcome variable defined in terms of a home team win/loss. We found that while winning the toss is an important aspect of a one-day cricket match, other factors tend to dominate in determining the result, especially team quality and match importance for the home and away teams in the overall league context. Our results also indicate, not surprisingly given the nature of cricket attendance and spectating, that the crowd effect is largely insignificant. The results of our study do not support any rule changes requiring the abandonment of the coin toss to determine batting order.
authors.affiliation: School of Management and Business, University of Wales Aberystwyth, Aberystwyth, UK.
authors.forename: Bruce
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Morley
authors.forename: Dennis
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Thomas
mesh_terms: D003163:Competitive Behavior; D004739:England; D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012044:Regression Analysis; D013177:Sports / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*