[Effect of malnutrition on the survival of children and productivity in 9 provinces of China].
OBJECTIVE
To calculate the effects of malnutrition on the child survival and economic productivity in 9 provinces by using a new method.


METHODS
PROFILES was used to quantify the function consequences of malnutrition in terms of child survival and productivity.


RESULTS
As estimated, without improvement, 304000 children will die due to underweight between 2001 and 2010 in 9 provinces, reducing underweight prevalence from 12.6% to 9.5% could save 38000 lives. If current stunting level remained unchanged over next 10 years in 9 provinces, the net present value of future productivity lost would be 58.4 billion, productivity gain due to reduction in child stunting reduced by 25% over next 10 years would gain worth 7.9 billion.


CONCLUSIONS
Children's malnutrition plays a negative role in child survival, but also has huge economic lost in 9 provinces. It's recommendable to try or develop PROFILES model in nutrition study.
Yu
Dong-mei
DM
National Institute for Nutrition and Food Safety, China CDC, Beijing 100050, China.
Zhai
Feng-ying
FY
Wang
Yu-ying
YY
D002648:Child; D015362:Child Nutrition Disorders / Q000191:economics* / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality; D002675:Child, Preschool; D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D017281:Cost of Illness; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D015995:Prevalence; D016019:Survival Analysis