title: Individual and partner predictors of recovery from alcohol-use disorder over a nine-year interval: findings from a community sample of alcoholic married men.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Numerous studies have focused on the predictors of recovery in persons with alcohol use disorder (AUD). Most have been retrospective and have measured only predictors of short-term recovery after the completion of treatment. This prospective study evaluates the role of psychological and social factors in a community sample of both alcoholics and their partners in predicting recovery over a 9-year interval.
  
  
  METHODS
  Alcoholic diagnostic status and life functioning of 134 community-recruited, initially coupled men meeting criteria for a 3-year Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, AUD diagnosis at baseline were assessed over the 9-year period. Their partners also were assessed. Prediction involved comparing those who still had an AUD diagnosis at 9-year follow-up against those who no longer met AUD criteria.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Predictors of recovery included number of experiences with treatment, education, number of years of intervening recovery over the follow-up period, partner baseline AUD status and partner's social support network. Alcoholics' initial severity of drinking did not predict long-term outcome. Furthermore, recovered men's partners decreased their AUD in the interim, whereas nonremitters' partners increased their AUD. The findings highlight the transitions in and out of AUD, with 62% of the men having stable drinking patterns of either remission or unremitting AUD diagnosis over the entire follow-up period.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  This study demonstrated the importance of interpersonal factors in maintaining AUD or promoting recovery. Consideration of partner characteristics and the marital context as factors in the recovery process is essential. Future research should examine the predictors of recovery in women, in adolescents and in racial groups other than white.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychiatry and Addiction Research Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. mary.mcaweeney@wright.edu
authors.forename: Mary J
authors.initials: MJ
authors.lastname: McAweeney
authors.forename: Robert A
authors.initials: RA
authors.lastname: Zucker
authors.forename: Hiram E
authors.initials: HE
authors.lastname: Fitzgerald
authors.forename: Leon I
authors.initials: LI
authors.lastname: Puttler
authors.forename: Maria M
authors.initials: MM
authors.lastname: Wong
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000437:Alcoholism / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000534:rehabilitation*; D003156:Community Mental Health Services; D003289:Convalescence; D003710:Demography; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007398:Interpersonal Relations; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008393:Marriage / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D012747:Sexual Partners; D013997:Time Factors