Long-term prognostic value of transesophageal atrial pacing stress echocardiography.
OBJECTIVE
The aim of our study was to evaluate the long-term prognostic value of transesophageal atrial pacing stress echocardiography (TAPSE) for the prediction of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction) and mortality at 10-year follow-up.


METHODS
TAPSE was applied as a diagnostic modality in 93 consecutive patients (mean age 45 +/- 8 years) who were diagnosed for the cause of chest pain. Long-term follow-up data were obtained from 87 (94%) patients with a mean duration of follow-up of 92 +/- 4 months. Stress echocardiography was performed using TAPSE with a mean pacing rate of 142 +/- 18/min.


RESULTS
Predefined cardiac events occurred during the follow-up period in 45 (52%) patients, including 24 (28%) with hard end points: 10 (12%) with nonfatal myocardial infarction and 17 who died (events overlap). Positive result of TAPSE was found in 47 (54%) patients and among those with positive TAPSE result, 16 died (94% of total mortality) and 21 had a hard event (death or infarction-88% of total prevalence). Survival free from hard events was noted in 37 (92%) patients with negative TAPSE and only in 26 (55%) of those with positive TAPSE ( P = .001). Independent predictive factors for mortality were TAPSE positivity (relative risk with 95% confidence interval [RR/CI] = 39.6 [36.3-42.9], P = .0006) and diabetes (RR/CI = 10.2 [8.6-11.8], P = .0026). Independent predictive factors for myocardial infarction were diabetes (RR/CI = 8.1 [6.3-9.9], P = .0186) and significant coronary stenosis in angiography (RR/CI = 9.0 [6.8-11.2], P = .0479). Independent predictive factors for death or nonfatal myocardial infarction were TAPSE positivity (RR/CI = 12.3 [11.1-13.3], P = .0001) and diabetes (RR/CI = 7.0 [5.8-8.2], P = .0018).


CONCLUSIONS
Positive TAPSE result carries long-term prognostic information regarding mortality and risk of myocardial infarction that can be used to identify patients requiring more aggressive treatment. Negative TAPSE allows highly accurate definition of low-risk population with discriminating power maintained during the 10-year period. TAPSE result and diabetes are the strongest independent predictors for long-term mortality in multivariate analysis.
Department of Cardiology, Pomeranian Medical Academy, Szczecin, Poland.
Edyta
E
Płońska
Jarosław D
JD
Kasprzak
Zdzisława
Z
Kornacewicz-Jach
D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D002304:Cardiac Pacing, Artificial / Q000379:methods / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D002637:Chest Pain / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging* / Q000401:mortality*; D015897:Comorbidity; D017548:Echocardiography, Transesophageal / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D005080:Exercise Test / Q000379:methods / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D005260:Female; D006325:Heart Atria; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging* / Q000401:mortality*; D011044:Poland / Q000453:epidemiology; D011379:Prognosis; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D016019:Survival Analysis; D015996:Survival Rate; D013997:Time Factors