title: Predator-prey cycles from resonant amplification of demographic stochasticity.
abstract: We present the simplest individual level model of predator-prey dynamics and show, via direct calculation, that it exhibits cycling behavior. The deterministic analogue of our model, recovered when the number of individuals is infinitely large, is the Volterra system (with density-dependent prey reproduction) which is well known to fail to predict cycles. This difference in behavior can be traced to a resonant amplification of demographic fluctuations which disappears only when the number of individuals is strictly infinite. Our results indicate that additional biological mechanisms, such as predator satiation, may not be necessary to explain observed predator-prey cycles in real (finite) populations.
authors.affiliation: Theory Group, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.
authors.forename: A J
authors.initials: AJ
authors.lastname: McKane
authors.forename: T J
authors.initials: TJ
authors.lastname: Newman
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D017753:Ecosystem; D020387:Food Chain; D008954:Models, Biological; D015233:Models, Statistical; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011156:Population Density; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011235:Predatory Behavior; D013269:Stochastic Processes