title: [Possible effects of climatic changes on the spread of malaria tropica--results of a strategical simulation].
abstract: The Earth's surface is presently undergoing a period of global warming-up, which increases the likelihood of a spread of malaria tropica. A reliable prognosis would be important for efficient prevention by initiating appropriate counter-measures well in time. The following paper presents simulations of the effects of climatic changes on the spread of malaria. We do not specifically aim at obtaining concrete data for a particular region; rather, we are concerned with gaining an insight into the complex interrelations between global environment changes and the spread of malaria.
authors.affiliation: Universität Greifswald. steffen.flessa@uni-greifswald.de
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Flessa
authors.forename: O
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Müller
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D000852:Anopheles / Q000254:growth & development; D017752:Greenhouse Effect; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008288:Malaria / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000401:mortality / Q000517:prevention & control; D015995:Prevalence; D012307:Risk Factors; D012621:Seasons