title: Predictors of adverse outcome in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy: long term experience of a tertiary care centre.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To investigate the predictors for adverse clinical outcome in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVD/C) during long term follow up.
  
  
  METHODS
  61 patients with ARVD/C were studied to assess the impact of family history, clinical findings, surface ECG parameters, echocardiographic findings, and electrophysiological findings on clinical outcome. The prevalence of these risk factors were compared in two patient groups: group A (patients with adverse clinical outcome: sudden cardiac death, death from heart failure, or heart transplant) and group B (survivors excluding patients who received a heart transplant).
  
  
  RESULTS
  Mean age at first diagnosis was 44 (14) years. The mean follow up duration was 55 (47) months. Ten patients (16%) died during follow up. The cause of death of eight of these patients was probably arrhythmic. Two patients died of advanced heart failure. Five patients underwent heart transplantation because of terminal heart failure. Risk factors significantly associated with adverse outcome were history of congestive heart failure (p < 0.001), the presence of left ventricular involvement on echocardiography (p < 0.001), left atrial dilatation (p < 0.05), prolonged PR duration (p < 0.01), prolonged QRS in V1 (p < 0.05), and bundle branch block (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis, history of congestive heart failure and presence of left ventricular involvement were identified as independent risk predictors for an adverse outcome.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Congestive heart failure and left ventricular involvement are independently associated with adverse outcome in patients with ARVD/C during long term follow up.
authors.affiliation: Division of Cardiology, Cardiovascular Centre, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
authors.forename: K
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Lemola
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Brunckhorst
authors.forename: U
authors.initials: U
authors.lastname: Helfenstein
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Oechslin
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Jenni
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Duru
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D019571:Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Dysplasia / Q000150:complications / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging; D016757:Death, Sudden, Cardiac / Q000209:etiology; D018450:Disease Progression; D004562:Electrocardiography; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D005260:Female; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000209:etiology; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011379:Prognosis; D014463:Ultrasonography; D018487:Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / Q000209:etiology