title: Determination of osteoporosis risk factors using a multiple logistic regression model in postmenopausal Turkish women.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To determine the risk factors of osteoporosis using a multiple binary logistic regression method and to assess the risk variables for osteoporosis, which is a major and growing health problem in many countries.
  
  
  METHODS
  We presented a case-control study, consisting of 126 postmenopausal healthy women as control group and 225 postmenopausal osteoporotic women as the case group. The study was carried out in the Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Dicle University, Diyarbakir, Turkey between 1999-2002. The data from the 351 participants were collected using a standard questionnaire that contains 43 variables. A multiple logistic regression model was then used to evaluate the data and to find the best regression model.
  
  
  RESULTS
  We classified 80.1% (281/351) of the participants using the regression model. Furthermore, the specificity value of the model was 67% (84/126) of the control group while the sensitivity value was 88% (197/225) of the case group. We found the distribution of residual values standardized for final model to be exponential using the Kolmogorow-Smirnow test (p=0.193). The receiver operating characteristic curve was found successful to predict patients with risk for osteoporosis. This study suggests that low levels of dietary calcium intake, physical activity, education, and longer duration of menopause are independent predictors of the risk of low bone density in our population.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Adequate dietary calcium intake in combination with maintaining a daily physical activity, increasing educational level, decreasing birth rate, and duration of breast-feeding may contribute to healthy bones and play a role in practical prevention of osteoporosis in Southeast Anatolia. In addition, the findings of the present study indicate that the use of multivariate statistical method as a multiple logistic regression in osteoporosis, which maybe influenced by many variables, is better than univariate statistical evaluation.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Dicle University, Diyarbakir, Turkey. zakkus@dicle.edu.tr
authors.forename: Zeki
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Akkus
authors.forename: Handan
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Camdeviren
authors.forename: Fatma
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Celik
authors.forename: Ali
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Gur
authors.forename: Kemal
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Nas
mesh_terms: D017677:Age Distribution; D017668:Age of Onset; D016022:Case-Control Studies; D004032:Diet; D005260:Female; D020073:Gravidity; D006801:Humans; D008019:Life Style; D016015:Logistic Models; D008572:Menarche / Q000502:physiology; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D015663:Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology*; D010298:Parity; D010809:Physical Fitness / Q000502:physiology*; D017698:Postmenopause; D011247:Pregnancy; D015995:Prevalence; D011336:Probability; D011379:Prognosis; D012016:Reference Values; D012307:Risk Factors; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D014421:Turkey / Q000453:epidemiology