Identifying potential health care innovations for the future elderly.
We used a method that combined literature review and expertjudgment to assess potential medical innovations for older adults. We evaluated innovations in four domains: cardiovascular disease, cancer, the biology of aging, and neurologic disease. The innovations can be categorized by common themes: improved disease prevention, better detection of subclinical or early clinical disease, and treatments for established disease. We report the likelihood, potential impact, and potential cost implications for thirty-four innovations, and we revisit this forecast five years later. Many of the innovations have the potential to greatly affect the costs and outcomes of health care.
Shekelle
Paul G
PG
Evidence-Based Practice Center, RAND Health, Santa Monica, California, USA. shekelle@rand.org
Ortiz
Eduardo
E
Newberry
Sydne J
SJ
Rich
Michael W
MW
Rhodes
Shannon L
SL
Brook
Robert H
RH
Goldman
Dana P
DP
D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D004059:Diffusion of Innovation; D049674:History, 21st Century; D006801:Humans; D007407:Interviews as Topic; D011320:Primary Health Care; D014481:United States