Spreading disease with transport-related infection.
Transportation among regions is found as one of the main factors which affect the outbreak of diseases. It will change the disease dynamics and break infection out even if infectious diseases will go to extinction in each city without transport-related infection. In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to demonstrate the dynamics of such disease propagation between two regions (or cities) due to the population dispersal and infection on transports. Further, our analysis shows that transport-related infection intensifies the disease spread if infectious diseases break out to cause an endemic situation in each region, in the sense that both the absolute and relative size of patients increase. This suggests that it is very essential to strengthen restrictions of passengers once we know infectious diseases appeared.
Cui
Jing'an
J
Department of Mathematics, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097,China.
Takeuchi
Yasuhiro
Y
Saito
Yasuhisa
Y
D003140:Communicable Disease Control; D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D004198:Disease Susceptibility; D006801:Humans; D008954:Models, Biological; D011157:Population Dynamics; D014195:Travel; D014504:Urban Health