title: Fractions affected and probabilistic risk assessment of Cu, Zn, Cd, and Pb in soils using the free ion approach.
abstract: The free ion approach quantifies the toxic effects of cationic metals on soil biota as a function of chemistry. The approach is here extended to calculate the general relationship among toxic effects as the Fraction Affected (FA), soil solution pH, and soil organic matter content (SOM) for Cu, Zn, Cd, and Pb within toxicity data sets from literature. The dependence of FA on SOM is strong, with the FA decreasing as the SOM increases. The dependence of FA upon pH varies; Cd and Zn show strong dependences while for Cu and Pb dependences are weaker. The FA usually decreases as the soil pH increases. When the free ion approach is applied, risks across soils due to different metals can be compared using the FA. The free ion approach may also be applied to probabilistic risk assessment. Risk values, using the joint probability curve approach, were derived for Pb using two field soil data sets. One data set, with higher SOM than that of the Pb toxicity data set, gave a lower risk with the free ion approach than that when the soil chemistry was not considered. The other data set had lower SOM than that of the toxicity data set and gave a higher risk with the free ion approach. Since literature toxicity tests are biased toward low SOM soils of circumneutral pH, using such data to perform classical risk assessment for soils of differing chemical composition can lead to misestimation of risk due to neglecting soil chemistry, especially in soils with extreme pH and/or SOM.
authors.affiliation: NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Bailrigg, Lancaster LA1 4AP, United Kingdom. stlo@ceh.ac.uk
authors.forename: Stephen
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Lofts
authors.forename: David
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Spurgeon
authors.forename: Claus
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Svendsen
mesh_terms: D002104:Cadmium / Q000032:analysis* / Q000633:toxicity; D003300:Copper / Q000032:analysis* / Q000633:toxicity; D007854:Lead / Q000032:analysis* / Q000633:toxicity; D011336:Probability; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012989:Soil Pollutants / Q000032:analysis* / Q000633:toxicity; D015032:Zinc / Q000032:analysis* / Q000633:toxicity
chemical_list: D012989:Soil Pollutants; D002104:Cadmium; D007854:Lead; D003300:Copper; D015032:Zinc