title: Prognostic value of serial B-type natriuretic peptide testing during follow-up of patients with unstable coronary artery disease.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Elevated concentrations of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) at presentation in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are associated with long-term mortality. Few data exist regarding serial assessment of BNP levels during follow-up.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To determine whether concentrations of BNP at study entry (prior to hospital discharge for ACS) and at outpatient follow-up at 4 months and 12 months are associated with subsequent clinical outcomes.
  
  
  METHODS
  Prospective observational substudy of 4497 patients with non-ST-elevation or ST-elevation ACS who were enrolled in phase Z of the A to Z trial, which was conducted in 41 countries at 322 acute care hospitals between 1999 and 2003.
  
  
  METHODS
  Death from any cause or new onset of congestive heart failure (CHF) through 2 years.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Levels of BNP were available in 4266 patients at study entry (prior to hospital discharge), 3618 patients at 4 months, and 2966 patients at 12 months. During follow-up there were 230 deaths and 163 incident cases of CHF. Adjusting for age, sex, index event, renal function, hypertension, prior heart failure, and diabetes, elevated levels of BNP (>80 pg/mL) were associated with subsequent death or new CHF when measured at study entry (111 [21%] vs 246 [7%]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-3.3), at 4 months (34 [19%] vs 125 [4%]; adjusted HR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.6-6.0), and at 12 months (19 [11%] vs 37 [1%]; adjusted HR, 4.7; 95% CI, 2.5-8.9). Patients with newly elevated levels of BNP at 4 months were at increased risk of death or new CHF (10 [15%] vs 105 [3%]); HR, 4.5; 95% CI, 2.3-8.6). Patients with elevated levels of BNP at study entry and with BNP levels lower than 80 pg/mL at 4 months tended to have only modestly increased risk (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.0-2.9) compared with patients with BNP levels lower than 80 pg/mL at both visits.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Serial determinations of BNP levels during outpatient follow-up after ACS predict the risk of death or new CHF. Changes in BNP levels over time are associated with long-term clinical outcomes and may provide a basis for enhanced clinical decision making in patients after onset of ACS.Clinical Trials Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00251576.
authors.affiliation: Cardiovascular Division and Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass 2115, USA.
authors.forename: David A
authors.initials: DA
authors.lastname: Morrow
authors.forename: James A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: de Lemos
authors.forename: Michael A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Blazing
authors.forename: Marc S
authors.initials: MS
authors.lastname: Sabatine
authors.forename: Sabina A
authors.initials: SA
authors.lastname: Murphy
authors.forename: Petr
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Jarolim
authors.forename: Harvey D
authors.initials: HD
authors.lastname: White
authors.forename: Keith A A
authors.initials: KA
authors.lastname: Fox
authors.forename: Robert M
authors.initials: RM
authors.lastname: Califf
authors.forename: Eugene
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Braunwald
mesh_terms: D003327:Coronary Disease / Q000097:blood* / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000097:blood* / Q000401:mortality; D006801:Humans; D019161:Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / Q000097:blood*; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D018570:Risk Assessment; D016019:Survival Analysis
chemical_list: D019161:Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors; D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain