Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications.
The development of multi-model ensembles for reliable predictions of inter-annual climate fluctuations and climate change, and their application to health, agronomy and water management, are discussed.
Palmer
T N
TN
ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, UK. tim.palmer@ecmwf.int
Doblas-Reyes
F J
FJ
Hagedorn
R
R
Weisheimer
A
A
D002980:Climate; D004777:Environment; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods*; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011336:Probability