Functional imaging as a predictor of schizophrenia.
BACKGROUND
Prospective studies of young individuals at high risk of schizophrenia allow the investigation of whether neural abnormalities predate development of illness and, if present, have the potential to identify those who may become ill.


METHODS
We studied young individuals with at least two relatives with the disorder. At baseline functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) scan, none met criteria for any psychiatric disorder, but four subjects subsequently developed schizophrenia. We report the baseline functional imaging findings in these subjects performing a sentence completion task compared with normal control subjects (n = 21) and those at high risk with (n = 21) and without (n = 41) psychotic symptoms who have not developed the disorder.


RESULTS
High-risk subjects who became ill demonstrated increased activation of the parietal lobe, decreased activation of the anterior cingulate, and smaller increases in activation with increasing task difficulty in the right lingual gyrus and bilateral temporal regions. The hypothesized predictive power of parietal activation was supported only in combination with lingual gyrus activity, which gave a positive predictive value in this sample of .80.


CONCLUSIONS
Although these findings should be considered cautiously, as only four subjects who had an fMRI scan subsequently became ill, they suggest functional abnormalities are present in high-risk subjects who later became ill, which distinguish them not only from normal control subjects but also those at high risk who had not developed the disorder. These differences are detectable with fMRI and may have clinical utility.
Whalley
Heather C
HC
Division of Psychiatry, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.
Simonotto
Enrico
E
Moorhead
William
W
McIntosh
Andrew
A
Marshall
Ian
I
Ebmeier
Klaus P
KP
Owens
David G C
DG
Goddard
Nigel H
NH
Johnstone
Eve C
EC
Lawrie
Stephen M
SM
D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D001931:Brain Mapping; D002540:Cerebral Cortex / Q000502:physiology* / Q000503:physiopathology; D005260:Female; D020022:Genetic Predisposition to Disease; D006179:Gyrus Cinguli / Q000502:physiology; D006801:Humans; D007091:Image Processing, Computer-Assisted; D008279:Magnetic Resonance Imaging; D008297:Male; D008665:Metalloporphyrins; D010296:Parietal Lobe / Q000502:physiology; D010375:Pedigree; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012016:Reference Values; D012559:Schizophrenia / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000235:genetics / Q000503:physiopathology; D013702:Temporal Lobe / Q000502:physiology; D014705:Verbal Behavior / Q000502:physiology*
D008665:Metalloporphyrins; C023540:factor F430