title: Predictive factors and a corresponding treatment algorithm for controlled ovarian stimulation in patients treated with recombinant human follicle stimulating hormone (follitropin alfa) during assisted reproduction technology (ART) procedures. An analysis of 1378 patients.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Identifying parameters that can accurately predict the response to controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) would be of great benefit in assisted reproductive technology (ART) procedures. An analysis was undertaken with the objective of determining whether specific factors could optimally predict a response to stimulation in ART, and to then develop a corresponding treatment algorithm that could be used to calculate the optimal starting dose of recombinant human follicle stimulating hormone (r-hFSH; follitropin alfa) for selected patients.
  
  
  METHODS
  The overall population consisted of 2280 normo-ovulatory ART patients from 11 randomised clinical trials. However, for the final analysis population, only patients less than 35 years of age who received r-hFSH monotherapy (N = 1378) were included.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Backwards stepwise regression modelling indicated that predictive factors for ovarian response included basal FSH, BMI, age and number of follicles < 11 mm at baseline screening. The concordance probability index was 59.5% for this model.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  In the largest data series so far analysed to determine predictive factors of ovarian response, basal FSH, BMI, age and number of follicles < 11 mm at screening were the most important variables in ART patients less than 35 years of age who were treated with r-hFSH monotherapy. Using these four predictive factors, a follitropin alfa starting dose calculator was developed that can be used to select the FSH starting dose required for an optimal response. The relevance of this dose calculator will be evaluated in a prospective clinical trial.
authors.affiliation: Serono Singapore Pte., Singapore. colin.howles@serono.com
authors.forename: C M
authors.initials: CM
authors.lastname: Howles
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Saunders
authors.forename: V
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Alam
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Engrand
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000465:Algorithms; D017322:Clinical Trials, Phase II as Topic; D017326:Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic; D017327:Clinical Trials, Phase IV as Topic; D005260:Female; D015292:Glycoprotein Hormones, alpha Subunit / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D006801:Humans; D007246:Infertility / Q000188:drug therapy; D010062:Ovulation Induction; D016032:Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; D011994:Recombinant Proteins / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D027724:Reproductive Techniques, Assisted; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D015292:Glycoprotein Hormones, alpha Subunit; D011994:Recombinant Proteins