Scaling theory of temporal correlations and size-dependent fluctuations in the traded value of stocks.
Records of the traded value of fi stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <fi>: sigma(i) is proportional to <fi> alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(Delta(t)). The nontrivial (i.e., neither 0.5 nor 1) value of alpha may have different origins and provides information about the microscopic dynamics. We present a set of stylized facts and then show their connection to such behavior. The functional form alpha(Delta(t)) originates from two aspects of the dynamics: Stocks of larger companies both tend to be traded in larger packages and also display stronger correlations of traded value. The results are integrated into a general framework that can be applied to a wide range of complex systems.
Eisler
Zoltán
Z
Department of Theoretical Physics, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Budapest, Hungary. eisler@maxwell.phy.bme.hu
Kertész
János
J