Insight and strategy in multiple-cue learning.
In multiple-cue learning (also known as probabilistic category learning) people acquire information about cue-outcome relations and combine these into predictions or judgments. Previous researchers claimed that people can achieve high levels of performance without explicit knowledge of the task structure or insight into their own judgment policies. It has also been argued that people use a variety of suboptimal strategies to solve such tasks. In three experiments the authors reexamined these conclusions by introducing novel measures of task knowledge and self-insight and using "rolling regression" methods to analyze individual learning. Participants successfully learned a four-cue probabilistic environment and showed accurate knowledge of both the task structure and their own judgment processes. Learning analyses suggested that the apparent use of suboptimal strategies emerges from the incremental tracking of statistical contingencies in the environment.
Lagnado
David A
DA
Department of Psychology, University College London, London, United Kingdom. d.lagnado@ucl.ac.uk
Newell
Ben R
BR
Kahan
Steven
S
Shanks
David R
DR
D000704:Analysis of Variance; D003463:Cues; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D019359:Knowledge; D007858:Learning; D008131:London; D008960:Models, Psychological; D011336:Probability; D011340:Problem Solving; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012647:Self-Assessment; D013850:Thinking