Robustness of modelled ozone exposures and doses.
This study evaluates the robustness of the AOTX and AF(st)Y indices for assessing the ozone-induced risk to vegetation. These indices represent the accumulated concentration and stomatal flux, respectively, above a threshold value. The robustness is expressed as the sensitivity to changes in inputs and the uncertainty due to input errors. The input data are taken from a regional-scale chemical transport model. Both indices show increasing sensitivity with increasing threshold values. The sensitivity depends on the threshold and the characteristics of the frequency distribution for concentrations and stomatal fluxes. AF(st)Y appears less sensitive than AOTX for the thresholds adopted for critical levels. The couplings between concentration gradients and deposition algorithms complicate the assessment of the total uncertainty. For AF(st)Y, the uncertainty due to the modelled stomatal conductance may sometimes increase, but sometimes decrease, the overall uncertainty significantly. In particular, the maximum stomatal conductance plays an important role in determining the uncertainty.
Tuovinen
J-P
JP
Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland. juha-pekka.tuovinen@fmi.fi
Simpson
D
D
Emberson
L
L
Ashmore
M
M
Gerosa
G
G
D004781:Environmental Exposure / Q000009:adverse effects; D004784:Environmental Monitoring / Q000379:methods; D029964:Fagus / Q000187:drug effects / Q000378:metabolism; D008954:Models, Biological; D010083:Oxidants, Photochemical / Q000493:pharmacokinetics / Q000633:toxicity*; D010126:Ozone / Q000493:pharmacokinetics / Q000633:toxicity*; D018515:Plant Leaves / Q000187:drug effects / Q000378:metabolism; D010944:Plants / Q000187:drug effects* / Q000378:metabolism; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods; D014908:Triticum / Q000187:drug effects / Q000378:metabolism; D035501:Uncertainty
D010083:Oxidants, Photochemical; D010126:Ozone