title: Potential vulnerability implications of sea level rise for the coastal zones of Cochin, southwest coast of India.
abstract: This study presents the results of the impact assessment analysis of the coastal zones of Cochin along the southwest coast of India. The climatological cycle of sea level derived for the region for the period 1939-2003 has shown a range of about 17 cm. From the results obtained on the coastal sedimentary environments, it is found that climate-induced sea level rise scenarios will bring profound effects. It is also revealed that the mean beach slope and relief play a vital role in land loss of the region. The local relief of coastal zone will decrease as sea level rises, thus increasing the percentage of land above mean sea level subjected to episodic inundations. Results of the yearly probability of damages indicated the urgency to upgrade the existing designs of coastal protection structures. A brief characterisation of the issues on infrastructure and uncertainties in policy planning also are attempted.
authors.affiliation: National Institute of Oceanography, Regional Centre, Cochin, 682 018, Kerala, India. dineshku@niokochi.org
authors.forename: P K Dinesh
authors.initials: PK
authors.lastname: Kumar
mesh_terms: D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources; D004190:Disasters; D005544:Forecasting; D017752:Greenhouse Effect; D007194:India; D009792:Oceans and Seas; D012621:Seasons; D014872:Water Movements