title: Prospective studies of suicidal behavior in major depressive and bipolar disorders: what is the evidence for predictive risk factors?
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Prospective studies over the past 30 years have identified an array of predictive indicators for suicidal acts in mood disorders. However, prediction of suicidal behavior remains an elusive goal. This paper reviewed evidence from prospective studies for clinical factors that elevate risk of suicidal acts in that group.
  
  
  METHODS
  English language prospective studies of suicidal behavior in major depressive and bipolar disorders were examined.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The predictors with the best support were a past history of suicidal behavior and the presence of refractory or recurrent depressions. For other risk factors, there was either not enough data to consider them robust or findings were contradictory.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Future studies must not only be comprehensive in their inclusion of potentially contributing factors, but must also address their relative importance towards the goal of developing predictive models and enhance suicide prevention efforts.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychiatry, Division of Neuroscience, New York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, USA. moquendo@neuron.cpmc.columbia.edu
authors.forename: M A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Oquendo
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Currier
authors.forename: J J
authors.initials: JJ
authors.lastname: Mann
mesh_terms: D001714:Bipolar Disorder / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000523:psychology*; D003865:Major Depressive Disorder / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000523:psychology*; D006801:Humans; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D055502:Secondary Prevention; D013405:Suicide / Q000523:psychology*; D013406:Suicide, Attempted / Q000523:psychology; D000092864:Suicide Prevention