title: Investigating the quitting decision of nurses: panel data evidence from the British National Health Service.
abstract: In this paper, we provide a detailed investigation into the quitting behaviour of nurses in the British National Health Service (NHS), using a recently constructed longitudinal survey. We fit both single and competing risks duration models that enable us to establish the characteristics of those nurses who leave the public sector, distinguish the importance of pay in this decision and document the destinations that nurses move to. Contrary to expectations, we find that the hourly wage received by nurses outside of the NHS is around 20% lower than in the NHS, and that hours of work are about the same. However, while the effect of wages is found to be statistically significant, the predicted impact of an increase in nurses' pay on retention rates is small. The current nurse retention problem in the NHS is therefore unlikely to be eliminated through substantially increased pay.
authors.affiliation: School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology, Australia.
authors.forename: Paul
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Frijters
authors.forename: Michael A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Shields
authors.forename: Stephen Wheatley
authors.initials: SW
authors.lastname: Price
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D003657:Decision Making; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D017059:Models, Econometric; D009740:Nursing Staff / Q000191:economics / Q000600:supply & distribution*; D016134:Organizational Policy; D010563:Personnel Turnover / Q000191:economics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D012306:Risk; D012456:Salaries and Fringe Benefits; D013222:State Medicine / Q000458:organization & administration; D006113:United Kingdom