title: Measuring and predicting maximal aerobic power in international-level intermittent sport athletes.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  The purpose of this study was to measure actual VO2max during the multi-stage fitness test (MSFT) and to compare this with predicted values obtained using previously established, commonly used methods. We also wanted to determine a new and more accurate regression equation for the prediction of VO2max in intermittent sport athletes.
  
  
  METHODS
  Twenty-six, elite, male, intermittent sport athletes performed the MSFT with oxygen uptake (VO2) and heart rate (HR) measured throughout. Paired t-tests were used to compare measured VO2max with predicted VO2max. Linear regression was used to determine the equation for the prediction of VO2max from the total number of shuttles completed.
  
  
  RESULTS
  There were no differences between the two methods of predicting VO2max, however, both predicted values (53.6+/-3.9 and 51.3+/-4 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1)) were significantly lower (9.3% and 13.2%, respectively) than measured VO2max (59.1+/-6.6 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1), P < 0.001). Correlations between measured and predicted VO2max were similar for both prediction methods (r = 0.61, P = 0.013 and r = 0.68 and P = 0.004). We present a new prediction equation [Y (VO2max, mL x kg(-1) x min(-1)) = 0.38 x total number of shuttles completed +25.98] (where R = 0.69; R2 = 0.48; SEE = 4.9 mL x kg(-1) x min(-1); SEE% = 8.3) which provides a more valid method of predicting actual max in intermittent sport athletes.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  A new regression equation to predict VO2max in intermittent sport athletes has been established. Whilst some error in predicting VO2max still exists, the new equation will provide coaches and sport-scientists with a more suitable equation with which to predict VO2max in intermittent sport athletes.
authors.affiliation: Division of Sport and Recreation, Faculty of Health and Environmental Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand. Andrew.kilding@aut.ac.nz
authors.forename: A E
authors.initials: AE
authors.lastname: Kilding
authors.forename: A R
authors.initials: AR
authors.lastname: Aziz
authors.forename: K C
authors.initials: KC
authors.lastname: Teh
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D006339:Heart Rate / Q000502:physiology; D006801:Humans; D016014:Linear Models; D008297:Male; D010101:Oxygen Consumption / Q000502:physiology*; D010809:Physical Fitness; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011659:Pulmonary Gas Exchange; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012107:Research Design; D013177:Sports