title: QT variability strongly predicts sudden cardiac death in asymptomatic subjects with mild or moderate left ventricular systolic dysfunction: a prospective study.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  The most widely accepted marker for stratifying the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in post myocardial infarction patients is a depressed left ventricular function. Left ventricular ejection fractions (EF) of 35% or less increase the risk of sudden death but values between 35 and 40% raise concern. The underlying pathophysiological mechanism is sustained ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, both associated with increased cardiac repolarization variability. We assessed whether the indices of QT variability from a short-term electrocardiographic (ECG) recording predict sudden death.
  
  
  RESULTS
  A total of 396 subjects with chronic heart failure (CHF) due to post-ischaemic cardiomyopathy, with an EF between 35 and 40% and in NYHA class I, underwent a 5 min ECG recording to calculate the following variables: QT variance (QT(v)), QT normalized for the square of the mean QT (QTVN), and QT variability index (QTVI). Corrected QT (QT(c)) was calculated from a 12-lead ECG recording. All participants were followed for 5 years. A multivariable survival model indicated that a QTVI greater than or equal to the 80th percentile indicated a high risk of SCD [hazards ratio (HR) 4.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-13.4, P = 0.006] and, though to a lesser extent, a high risk of total mortality (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2-4.9, P = 0.017). The model including QTVI as a continuous variable confirmed a similar high risk for SCD (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.3-6.5, P = 0.01) and for total mortality (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.3-5.2, P = 0.008).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Although asymptomatic patients with CHF who have a slightly depressed EF are at low risk of sudden death, the category is extraordinarily numerous. The QTVI could be helpful in stratifying the risk of sudden death in this otherwise undertreated population.
authors.affiliation: Dipartimento di Scienze dell'Invecchiamento, I Clinica Medica, Policlinico Umberto I, Università La Sapienza, Viale del Policlinico, 00161 Rome, Italy. gianfranco.piccirillo@uniroma1.it
authors.forename: Gianfranco
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Piccirillo
authors.forename: Damiano
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Magrì
authors.forename: Sabrina
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Matera
authors.forename: Marzia
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Magnanti
authors.forename: Alessia
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Torrini
authors.forename: Eleonora
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Pasquazzi
authors.forename: Erika
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Schifano
authors.forename: Stefania
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Velitti
authors.forename: Vincenzo
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Marigliano
authors.forename: Raffaele
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Quaglione
authors.forename: Francesco
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Barillà
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D016757:Death, Sudden, Cardiac / Q000209:etiology*; D004562:Electrocardiography; D005260:Female; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008133:Long QT Syndrome; D008297:Male; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D013318:Stroke Volume; D016019:Survival Analysis; D018487:Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / Q000401:mortality*