Declining growth rate of West Nile virus in North America.
To determine the demographic history of West Nile virus (WNV) in North America, we employed a coalescent method to envelope coding region data sets for the NY99 and WN02 genotypes. Although the observed genetic diversities in both genotypes were of approximately the same age, the mean rate of epidemiological growth of the WN02 population was approximately three times that of the NY99 population, a finding compatible with the recent dominance of the former genotype. However, there has also been a marked decrease in the recent growth rate of WN02, suggesting that WNV has reached its peak prevalence in North America.
Snapinn
Katherine W
KW
Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, Mueller Laboratory, University Park, PA 16802, USA.
Holmes
Edward C
EC
Young
David S
DS
Bernard
Kristen A
KA
Kramer
Laura D
LD
Ebel
Gregory D
GD
D000818:Animals; D004279:DNA, Viral / Q000235:genetics; D005838:Genotype; D006801:Humans; D017720:Molecular Epidemiology; D008969:Molecular Sequence Data; D009656:North America / Q000453:epidemiology; D013997:Time Factors; D014901:West Nile Fever / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000821:virology*; D014902:West Nile virus / Q000145:classification / Q000235:genetics* / Q000302:isolation & purification
D004279:DNA, Viral