title: Early risk stratification for arrhythmic death in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Sudden cardiac death is a leading cause of death in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (MI). According to high cost of modern therapeutic modalities it is of paramount importance to define protocols for risk stratification of post-MI patients before considering expensive devices such as implantable cardioverter-defibrillator.
  
  
  METHODS
  One hundred and thirty seven patients with acute ST-elevation MI were selected and underwent echocardiographic study, holter monitoring and signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG). Then, the patients were followed for 12 +/-3 months.
  
  
  RESULTS
  During follow-up, 13 deaths (9.5%) occurred; nine cases happened as sudden cardiac death (6.6%). The effect of ejection fraction (EF) less than 40% on occurrence of arrhythmic events was significant (P<0.001). Sensitivity and positive predictive value of EF<40% was 100% and 76.95% respectively. Although with lesser sensitivity and predictive power than EF<40%, abnormal heart rate variability (HRV) and SAECG had also significant effects on occurrence of sudden death (P=0.02 and P=0.003 respectively). Nonsustained ventricular tachycardia was not significantly related to risk of sudden death in this study (P=0.20).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  This study indicated that EF less than 40% is the most powerful predictor of sudden cardiac death in post MI patients. Abnormal HRV and SAECG are also important predictors and can be added to EF for better risk stratification.
authors.affiliation: Department of Pacemaker and Electrophysiology, Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. majid.haghjoo@gmail.com
authors.forename: Majid
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Haghjoo
authors.forename: Reza
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Kiani
authors.forename: Amir Farjam
authors.initials: AF
authors.lastname: Fazelifar
authors.forename: Abolfath
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Alizadeh
authors.forename: Zahra
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Emkanjoo
authors.forename: Mohammad Ali
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Sadr-Ameli