title: Considerations for the interpretation of STR results in cases of questioned half-sibship.
abstract: Likelihood ratios (LRs) were calculated for a cohort of 60 pairs of true half-sibs and compared with LR values calculated for unrelated, paired children. STR results for the half-sib group were obtained from 60 archived cases involving a true mother, two children, and an alleged father subjected to typing with a multiplex STR kit (Identifiler multiplex, Applied Biosystems) and in which the alleged father was excluded as the father of only one of the two children (half-sib pairs). The distribution of LR values among true half-sibs was compared to those produced from paired, unrelated children selected in two ways: One method for producing unrelated pairs was to randomly select Identifiler profiles from children in 120 distinct paternity cases and group them into 60 ethnically matched pairs (random pairs). In a second approach, the children in the true half-sib group were shuffled and ultimately paired with someone from a different case. A total of 49 ethnically matched, unrelated pairs were created (shuffled pairs). In the shuffled pairs group, comparisons were thus based on a constant set of phenotypes. LRs comparing the probability of half-sibship versus being unrelated were produced for all groups with standard methods. Among pairs of known half-sibs, LRs ranged from a low of 0.1 to a maximum of 3763. Among random and shuffled pairs, LRs ranged from a low of 0.0001 to 12 for shuffled pairs or 42 for random pairs. LRs of greater than 2 were produced in 8 instances among random pairs and in 4 instances among the shuffled pairs. Overall, results suggest that half-sib indices of 30 or greater are fairly characteristic of individuals who are related as half-sibs. In contrast, half-sib indices of 0.1 or less are fairly characteristic of unrelated individuals who claim to be half-sibs. LRs falling between 0.1 and 10.0 are uninformative, as this region represents the overlap in the LR distributions produced from the true and false half-sib groups when the Identifiler multiplex kit is used for testing.
authors.affiliation: Department of Forensic Sciences, Center for Health Sciences, Oklahoma State University, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74107, USA. rwa@chs.okstate.edu
authors.forename: Robert W
authors.initials: RW
authors.lastname: Allen
authors.forename: Jun
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Fu
authors.forename: Thomas M
authors.initials: TM
authors.lastname: Reid
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Baird
mesh_terms: D034462:Dissent and Disputes; D006801:Humans; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D018895:Microsatellite Repeats; D025202:Molecular Diagnostic Techniques; D010334:Paternity; D011897:Random Allocation; D035781:Siblings; D013223:Statistics as Topic / Q000379:methods*