title: Nonstationary Gaussian processes in wavelet domain: synthesis, estimation, and significance testing.
abstract: We propose an equivalence class of nonstationary Gaussian stochastic processes defined in the wavelet domain. These processes are characterized by means of wavelet multipliers and exhibit well-defined time-dependent spectral properties. They allow one to generate realizations of any wavelet spectrum. Based on this framework, we study the estimation of continuous wavelet spectra, i.e., we calculate variance and bias of arbitrary estimated continuous wavelet spectra. Finally, we develop an areawise significance test for continuous wavelet spectra to overcome the difficulties of multiple testing; it uses basic properties of continuous wavelet transform to decide whether a pointwise significant result is a real feature of the process or indistinguishable from typical stochastic fluctuations. This test is compared to the conventional one in terms of sensitivity and specificity. A software package for continuous wavelet spectral analysis and synthesis is presented.
authors.affiliation: Nonlinear Dynamics Group, Institute of Physics, University of Potsdam, 14415 Potsdam, Germany. maraun@agnld.uni-postdam.de
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Maraun
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Kurths
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Holschneider