Global burden of disease--a race against time.
Low-income communities will within the next decades undergo rapid changes. The burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), such as diabetes, cardio-vascular disease and cancer, will comprise an increasing proportion of the total disease burden. The results of projections indicate that the already constrained health systems will face a double burden of disease, in which HIV/AIDS and other common infectious diseases will co-exist with the new NCDs. In order for preventive measures directed towards NCD to be cost-effective, these have to be implemented within the next 10-20 years.
Meyrowitsch
Dan W
DW
Department for Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Øster Farimagsgade 5, Building 15, 1., 1401, Copenhagen, Denmark. d.meyrowitsch@pubhealth.ku.dk
Bygbjerg
Ib Christian
IC