Reactions to uncertainty and the accuracy of diagnostic mammography.
BACKGROUND
Reactions to uncertainty in clinical medicine can affect decision making.


OBJECTIVE
To assess the extent to which radiologists' reactions to uncertainty influence diagnostic mammography interpretation.


METHODS
Cross-sectional responses to a mailed survey assessed reactions to uncertainty using a well-validated instrument. Responses were linked to radiologists' diagnostic mammography interpretive performance obtained from three regional mammography registries.


METHODS
One hundred thirty-two radiologists from New Hampshire, Colorado, and Washington.


METHODS
Mean scores and either standard errors or confidence intervals were used to assess physicians' reactions to uncertainty. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit via generalized estimating equations to assess the impact of uncertainty on diagnostic mammography interpretive performance while adjusting for potential confounders.


RESULTS
When examining radiologists' interpretation of additional diagnostic mammograms (those after screening mammograms that detected abnormalities), a 5-point increase in the reactions to uncertainty score was associated with a 17% higher odds of having a positive mammogram given cancer was diagnosed during follow-up (sensitivity), a 6% lower odds of a negative mammogram given no cancer (specificity), a 4% lower odds (not significant) of a cancer diagnosis given a positive mammogram (positive predictive value [PPV]), and a 5% higher odds of having a positive mammogram (abnormal interpretation).


CONCLUSIONS
Mammograms interpreted by radiologists who have more discomfort with uncertainty have higher likelihood of being recalled.
Carney
Patricia A
PA
Department of Community and Family Medicine, Dartmouth Medical School, Hanover and Lebanon, NH, USA. carneyp@ohsu.edu
Yi
Joyce P
JP
Abraham
Linn A
LA
Miglioretti
Diana L
DL
Aiello
Erin J
EJ
Gerrity
Martha S
MS
Reisch
Lisa
L
Berns
Eric A
EA
Sickles
Edward A
EA
Elmore
Joann G
JG
D001943:Breast Neoplasms / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000453:epidemiology; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008327:Mammography / Q000379:methods / Q000592:standards*; D010819:Physician's Role; D011364:Professional Practice / Q000592:standards*; D011871:Radiology / Q000379:methods; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D035501:Uncertainty