title: The predictive value of provisional clinical diagnosis in the evaluation of respiratory disorders.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Many non-pulmonary physicians in hospital and family care practice base the diagnosis of pulmonary disorders on clinical impressions made from the history and physical examination. Experience has shown that relying on these parameters alone is not adequate, since this may result in missing a significant number of diseases, or in the unnecessary treatment of others. This study set out to compare the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of the clinical assessment (provisional clinical diagnosis or PCD) with the combined clinical assessment and other investigations, including pulmonary function test (PFT).
  
  
  METHODS
  One thousand and fifteen (1015) patients referred for PFT to the pulmonary function laboratory of a teaching hospital were involved in the study. The referring physicians were asked to fill a specially prepared form giving details of the patientsâ history and clinical assessment. The PFT was performed using an Erich-Jager Master Lab.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Analysis of the final diagnosis revealed that only 51% of patients with a pre-evaluation diagnosis of asthma were actually confirmed to have asthma after further tests. Similar findings of 59% and 52% of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pulmonary fibrosis were observed, respectively. The positive predictive value of PCD for asthma and lung fibrosis was 64.1% and 61.9%, respectively, while that for COPD was 74.2%.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  This study showed conclusively that the predictive value of provisional clinical diagnosis in the evaluation of pulmonary disorders is usually inadequate, and needs to be augmented with additional simple investigations such as PFT, in order to establish a more accurate diagnosis.
authors.affiliation: Departments of Medicine, Community Medicine, and Physiology, Faculty of Medicine, Kuwait University, and Department of Medicine, Mubarak Hospital, Kuwait.
authors.forename: K E
authors.initials: KE
authors.lastname: Mousa
authors.forename: M T
authors.initials: MT
authors.lastname: Hani
authors.forename: T N
authors.initials: TN
authors.lastname: Sugathan
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Girma
authors.forename: B O
authors.initials: BO
authors.lastname: Onadeko