title: Predictive models of syncope causes in an outpatient clinic.
abstract: The investigation of unexplained syncope remains a challenging clinical problem. In the present study we sought to evaluate the diagnostic value of a standardized work-up focusing on non invasive tests in patients with unexplained syncope referred to a syncope clinic, and whether certain combinations of clinical parameters are characteristic of rhythmic and reflex causes of syncope.
  
  
  RESULTS
  317 consecutive patients underwent a standardized work-up including a 12-lead ECG, physical examination, detailed history with screening for syncope-related symptoms using a structured questionnaire followed by carotid sinus massage (CSM), and head-up tilt test. Invasive testings including an electrophysiological study and implantation of a loop recorder were only performed in those with structural heart disease or traumatic syncope. Our work-up identified an etiology in 81% of the patients. Importantly, three quarters of the causes were established non invasively combining head-up tilt test, CSM and hyperventilation testing. Invasive tests yielded an additional 7% of diagnoses. Logistic analysis identified age and number of significant prodromes as the only predictive factors of rhythmic syncope. The same two factors, in addition to the duration of the ECG P-wave, were also predictive of vasovagal and psychogenic syncope. These factors, optimally combined in predictive models, showed a high negative and a modest positive predictive value.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  A standardized work-up focusing on non invasive tests allows to establish more than three quarters of syncope causes. Predictive models based on simple clinical parameters may help to distinguish between rhythmic and other causes of syncope.
authors.affiliation: Service de Cardiologie, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, BH07, CHUV, Rue du Bugnon 46, 1011 Lausanne, Switzerland.
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Graf
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Schlaepfer
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Gollut
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: van Melle
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Mischler
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Fromer
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Kappenberger
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Pruvot
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D000704:Analysis of Variance; D001795:Blood Pressure Determination; D016001:Confidence Intervals; D017023:Coronary Angiography; D015716:Electrocardiography, Ambulatory / Q000379:methods*; D005260:Female; D006785:Hospitals, University; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D010044:Outpatient Clinics, Hospital; D010808:Physical Examination / Q000379:methods*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011336:Probability; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D013575:Syncope / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D019462:Syncope, Vasovagal / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology; D018667:Tilt-Table Test