title: Predictive value of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide in severe sepsis and septic shock.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) on mortality in a large, unselected patient population with severe sepsis and septic shock.
  
  
  METHODS
  Prospective observational cohort study about incidence and prognosis of sepsis in 24 intensive care units in Finland (the FINNSEPSIS study).
  
  
  METHODS
  A total of 254 patients with severe sepsis or septic shock.
  
  
  METHODS
  After informed consent, the blood tests for NT-proBNP analyses were drawn on the day of admission and 72 hrs thereafter. Patients' demographic data were collected, and intensive care unit and hospital mortality and basic hemodynamic and laboratory data were recorded daily.
  
  
  RESULTS
  NT-proBNP levels at admission were significantly higher in hospital nonsurvivors (median, 7908 pg/mL) compared with survivors (median, 3479 pg/mL; p = .002), and the difference remained after 72 hrs (p = .002). The receiver operating characteristic curves of admission and 72-hr NT-proBNP levels for hospital mortality resulted in area under the curve values of 0.631 (95% confidence interval, 0.549-0.712; p = .002) and 0.648 (95% confidence interval, 0.554-0.741; p = .002), respectively. In logistic regression analyses, NT-proBNP values at 72 hrs after inclusion and Simplified Acute Physiology Score for the first 24 hrs were independent predictors of hospital mortality. Pulmonary artery occlusion pressure (p < .001), plasma creatinine clearance (p = .001), platelet count (p = .03), and positive blood culture (p = .04) had an independent effect on first-day NT-proBNP values, whereas after 72 hrs, only plasma creatinine clearance (p < .001) was significant in linear regression analysis.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  NT-proBNP values are frequently increased in severe sepsis and septic shock. Values are significantly higher in nonsurvivors than survivors. NT-proBNP on day 3 in the intensive care unit is an independent prognostic marker of mortality in severe sepsis.
authors.affiliation: Department of Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Finland. marjut.varpula@hus.fi
authors.forename: Marjut
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Varpula
authors.forename: Kari
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Pulkki
authors.forename: Sari
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Karlsson
authors.forename: Esko
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Ruokonen
authors.forename: Ville
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Pettilä
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D019540:Area Under Curve; D001157:Arterial Occlusive Diseases / Q000473:pathology; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000097:blood; D015331:Cohort Studies; D003404:Creatinine / Q000097:blood*; D005260:Female; D017052:Hospital Mortality; D006801:Humans; D053208:Kaplan-Meier Estimate; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / Q000097:blood*; D019370:Observation; D010446:Peptide Fragments / Q000097:blood*; D010976:Platelet Count; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D011651:Pulmonary Artery / Q000473:pathology; D012372:ROC Curve; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D018805:Sepsis / Q000097:blood / Q000401:mortality*; D012772:Shock, Septic / Q000097:blood / Q000401:mortality*
chemical_list: D015415:Biomarkers; D010446:Peptide Fragments; C109794:pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76); D020097:Natriuretic Peptide, Brain; D003404:Creatinine