title: Pseudocontingencies in a simulated classroom.
abstract: The pseudocontingency (PC) illusion is investigated in a simulated classroom setting. Related to the notion of ecological correlations, PCs arise when the assessment of contingencies at the individual level is affected by the base-rate relations at the group level. Positive PCs arise when base rates of 2 variables are skewed in the same direction (e.g., high ability and high motivation), whereas negative PCs arise when base rates are skewed in opposite directions. Experiment 1 demonstrates that PCs between student ability and motivation are contingent on effective base-rate assessment at the group level, with a bias toward positive PCs reflecting prior expectancies. Ruling out prior expectancies, Experiment 2 yields symmetric positive and negative PCs. Experiment 3 provides evidence for PC effects on gender stereotypes. Finally, Experiment 4 extends PCs from group base rates to individual student base rates, ruling out an explanation in terms of capacity deficits or inability to assess individuating information.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychology, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany. kf@psychologie.uni-heidelberg.de
authors.forename: Klaus
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Fiedler
authors.forename: Peter
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Freytag
authors.forename: Christian
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Unkelbach
mesh_terms: D000124:Achievement; D003071:Cognition; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007088:Illusions; D008297:Male; D013240:Stereotyping; D013663:Teaching / Q000379:methods*