title: Probabilistic risk assessment for long-range atmospheric transport of radionuclides.
abstract: A simplified means of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for long-range atmospheric transport based on a K-diffusion model is presented. In a case study, model parameters are estimated by comparing with the results of long-range atmospheric dispersion model calculations using one-year numerical weather prediction model data. It is found that the estimated ensemble mean provides a reasonable first approximation to the total dry and wet deposition from the one-year continuous release.
authors.affiliation: Risø National Laboratory, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark. bent.lauritzen@risoe.dk
authors.forename: Bent
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Lauritzen
authors.forename: Alexander
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Baklanov
authors.forename: Alexander
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Mahura
authors.forename: Torben
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Mikkelsen
authors.forename: Jens H
authors.initials: JH
authors.lastname: Sørensen
mesh_terms: D000392:Air Movements; D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive / Q000032:analysis*; D001272:Atmosphere; D004058:Diffusion; D004784:Environmental Monitoring / Q000379:methods*; D015233:Models, Statistical; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011336:Probability; D011834:Radiation Monitoring / Q000379:methods*; D011847:Radioactive Fallout; D011868:Radioisotopes / Q000032:analysis*; D018570:Risk Assessment
chemical_list: D000396:Air Pollutants, Radioactive; D011847:Radioactive Fallout; D011868:Radioisotopes