title: Prognostic markers of clinical remission in early rheumatoid arthritis after two years of DMARDs in a clinical setting.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To analyze the rate and baseline prognostic factors of clinical remission in a series of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) after 2 years of therapy based on a structured algorithm using disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) in a clinical setting. To determine whether a good therapeutic response at 6 months of therapy is associated with remission at 2 years.
  
  
  METHODS
  One hundred and five patients (81% female) with early RA (disease duration < 2 years) treated with the same therapeutic protocol using gold salts and methotrexate in a step-up strategy, together with methylprednisolone (4 mg/day), were followed up for 2 years. The outcome variable was clinical remission after 2 years of DMARD therapy using the 28-joint disease activity score (DAS28 < 2.6). Clinical, biological, immunogenetic and radiographic data (Larsen score) were analyzed at study entry and after 6, 12, 18 and 24 months of follow-up. Therapeutic response was analyzed using the ACR and EULAR criteria.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Remission was observed in 34 patients (32.4%) after 2 years of follow-up. A baseline DAS28 score < 5.1 (p = 0.004), hemoglobin (p = 0.04) and male gender (p = 0.02) were associated with remission in the univariate analysis. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, only a DAS28 < 5.1 was associated with remission at 2 years (OR 4.1, 95% CI: 1.56;10.77, p = 0.004). The percentage of ACR50 responses after 6 months was significantly higher in patients with remission at 2 years than in those without (66.7% vs 43.3%; p = 0.04). Similar results were obtained when analyzing the good EULAR response (50% vs 20.9%; p = 0.003). Furthermore, when the therapeutic response at 6 months was included in the logistic regression model, only an ACR50 response (OR 3.9, 95% CI 1.14;13.38, p = 0.03) and a good EULAR response (OR 6.23, 95% CI 1.61; 24.04, p = 0.008), but not an ACR20 response or a whole EULAR response were significantly associated with remission.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  In a series of early RA patients treated using a structured algorithm with DMARDs and very low doses of glucocorticoids, clinical remission was observed in one-third of patients after 2 years. Low or moderate disease activity (DAS28 < 5.1) at baseline and a good therapeutic response during the first months of therapy predicts clinical remission at 2 years.
authors.affiliation: Arthritis Unit, Rheumatology Service, Hospital Clínic of Barcelona, Spain.
authors.forename: I
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Vázquez
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Graell
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Gratacós
authors.forename: J D
authors.initials: JD
authors.lastname: Cañete
authors.forename: O
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Viñas
authors.forename: M G
authors.initials: MG
authors.lastname: Ercilla
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Gómez
authors.forename: M V
authors.initials: MV
authors.lastname: Hernández
authors.forename: J R
authors.initials: JR
authors.lastname: Rodríguez-Cros
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Larrosa
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Sanmartí
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000465:Algorithms; D018501:Antirheumatic Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D001172:Arthritis, Rheumatoid / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000188:drug therapy*; D004359:Drug Therapy, Combination; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D005938:Glucocorticoids / Q000627:therapeutic use; D006052:Gold Sodium Thiomalate / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008727:Methotrexate / Q000627:therapeutic use; D008875:Middle Aged; D011379:Prognosis; D011859:Radiography; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012074:Remission Induction; D013997:Time Factors; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D018501:Antirheumatic Agents; D005938:Glucocorticoids; D006052:Gold Sodium Thiomalate; D008727:Methotrexate