title: Comment on "Impacts of biodiversity loss on ocean ecosystem services".
abstract: Worm et al. (Research Articles, 3 November 2006, p. 787) used a power relation to predict a global collapse of fisheries by the year 2048. However, a linear regression of the data for the past 40 years yields an excellent fit, with a predicted date of collapse of 2114. Thus, long-term projections of fisheries collapse are highly dependent on the specific statistical model used.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627-0211, USA. joja@mail.rochester.edu
authors.forename: John
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Jaenike
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D044822:Biodiversity; D017753:Ecosystem; D005398:Fisheries; D005399:Fishes; D005544:Forecasting; D016014:Linear Models; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012044:Regression Analysis