Estimating incubation period with multiple contact days.
Multiple contacts with the infectious source may cause inconsistencies in determining the incubation period of a patient and hence the calculation of the mean and variance of the incubation period. A method based on probability distribution to deal with the problem is presented and an example is given for illustration.
Tam
Wilson Ws
WW
Department of Community and Family Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong. WilsonTam@cuhk.edu.hk
Wong
Tze Wai
TW
D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission*; D016358:Contact Tracing / Q000379:methods*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D006723:Hong Kong / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D017758:Infectious Disease Transmission, Patient-to-Professional; D011336:Probability; D045473:Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus / Q000254:growth & development; D018571:Sentinel Surveillance; D045169:Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission* / Q000821:virology