Epidemiological characteristics of reported sporadic and outbreak cases of E. coli O157 in people from Alberta, Canada (2000-2002): methodological challenges of comparing clustered to unclustered data.
Using multivariable models, we compared whether there were significant differences between reported outbreak and sporadic cases in terms of their sex, age, and mode and site of disease transmission. We also determined the potential role of administrative, temporal, and spatial factors within these models. We compared a variety of approaches to account for clustering of cases in outbreaks including weighted logistic regression, random effects models, general estimating equations, robust variance estimates, and the random selection of one case from each outbreak. Age and mode of transmission were the only epidemiologically and statistically significant covariates in our final models using the above approaches. Weighing observations in a logistic regression model by the inverse of their outbreak size appeared to be a relatively robust and valid means for modelling these data. Some analytical techniques, designed to account for clustering, had difficulty converging or producing realistic measures of association.
Pearl
D L
DL
Department of Population Medicine, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada. dpearl@uoguelph.ca
Louie
M
M
Chui
L
L
Doré
K
K
Grimsrud
K M
KM
Martin
S W
SW
Michel
P
P
Svenson
L W
LW
McEwen
S A
SA
D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000416:Alberta / Q000453:epidemiology; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D018562:Disease Transmission, Infectious; D004927:Escherichia coli Infections / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000382:microbiology / Q000517:prevention & control* / Q000635:transmission; D019453:Escherichia coli O157 / Q000302:isolation & purification*; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011159:Population Surveillance; D013029:Space-Time Clustering