title: Uncertainty estimation in seismo-acoustic reflection travel time inversion.
abstract: This paper develops a nonlinear Bayesian inversion for high-resolution seabed reflection travel time data including rigorous uncertainty estimation and examination of statistical assumptions. Travel time data are picked on seismo-acoustic traces and inverted for a layered sediment sound-velocity model. Particular attention is paid to picking errors which are often biased, correlated, and nonstationary. Non-Toeplitz data covariance matrices are estimated and included in the inversion along with unknown travel time offset (bias) parameters to account for these errors. Simulated experiments show that neglecting error covariances and biases can cause misleading inversion results with unrealistically high confidence. The inversion samples the posterior probability density and provides a solution in terms of one- and two-dimensional marginal probability densities, correlations, and credibility intervals. Statistical assumptions are examined through the data residuals with rigorous statistical tests. The method is applied to shallow-water data collected on the Malta Plateau during the SCARAB98 experiment.
authors.affiliation: School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. jand@uvic.ca
authors.forename: Jan
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Dettmer
authors.forename: Stan E
authors.initials: SE
authors.lastname: Dosso
authors.forename: Charles W
authors.initials: CW
authors.lastname: Holland
mesh_terms: D001499:Bayes Theorem; D003198:Computer Simulation; D019015:Geologic Sediments; D005844:Geology / Q000379:methods*; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D008319:Malta; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009038:Motion; D016011:Normal Distribution; D009792:Oceans and Seas; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012623:Seawater; D013016:Sound; D013997:Time Factors; D035501:Uncertainty