A posterior tale.
A vignette is presented that naively suggests that the posterior distribution of a parameter may not always contain everything that is needed for inference about that parameter. The resolution of this apparent paradox is discussed as well as its relation to real-life problems involving data monitoring of clinical trials.
Korn
Edward L
EL
Biometric Research Branch, EPN-8129, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892-7434, USA. korne@ctep.nci.nih.gov
Freidlin
Boris
B
D001499:Bayes Theorem; D015233:Models, Statistical; D016008:Statistical Distributions