Rapid virological response at week 4 predicts response to pegylated interferon plus ribavirin among HIV/HCV-coinfected patients.
BACKGROUND
The clinical applicability of early viral kinetics at week 4 in predicting sustained virological response (SVR) of pegylated interferon (peg-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients is unclear. Our objective was to determine if rapid virological response (RVR) at week 4 of therapy with peg-IFN and RBV could predict SVR among HIV/HCV-coinfected patients.


METHODS
HIV/HCV-coinfected patients in whom an HCV viral load determination had been carried out at week 4 of therapy were included in the study. The positive predictive value (PPV) and the negative predictive value (NPV) of RVR (undetectable serum HCV RNA at 4 week) for SVR were calculated in the study population. Receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to determine the best cutoff of HCV RNA decrease to predict treatment failure.


RESULTS
A total of 101 HIV/HCV-coinfected patients were included. RVR and SVR were observed in 39 (39%) and in 49 (48%) individuals, respectively. Of patients with RVR, 37/39 patients achieved SVR (PPV: 95%), whereas 50/62 individuals without RVR did not show SVR (NPV: 81%). The highest NPV (96%) was reached by using a cutoff level of HCV RNA decrease of 0.6 log10. By applying this cutoff level, treatment could have been discontinued in 25 (25%) patients.


CONCLUSIONS
An undetectable serum HCV RNA determination at week 4 of treatment with peg-IFN plus RBV is a reliable predictor of SVR in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients. In addition, a decrease of HCV RNA less than 0.6 log10 at this point of treatment could identify an appreciable proportion of individuals who will fail to achieve SVR.
Hospital Universitario de Valme, Sevilla, Spain.
José A
JA
Mira
Bárbara
B
Valera-Bestard
Ana
A
Arizcorreta-Yarza
Mercedes
M
González-Serrano
Julián
J
Torre-Cisneros
Ignacio
I
Santos
Salvador
S
Vergara
Alicia
A
Gutiérrez-Valencia
José A
JA
Girón-González
Juan
J
Macías
Luis F
LF
López-Cortés
Juan A
JA
Pineda
D000328:Adult; D000998:Antiviral Agents / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D004359:Drug Therapy, Combination; D005260:Female; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000150:complications* / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000821:virology; D015497:HIV-1 / Q000187:drug effects; D016174:Hepacivirus / Q000187:drug effects / Q000502:physiology*; D019698:Hepatitis C, Chronic / Q000150:complications / Q000188:drug therapy* / Q000821:virology; D006801:Humans; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D008297:Male; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012367:RNA, Viral / Q000097:blood*; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D012254:Ribavirin / Q000008:administration & dosage / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D013997:Time Factors; D016896:Treatment Outcome
D000998:Antiviral Agents; D000077190:Interferon alpha-2; D016898:Interferon-alpha; D012367:RNA, Viral; D011994:Recombinant Proteins; D011092:Polyethylene Glycols; D012254:Ribavirin; C417083:peginterferon alfa-2b