An individual, stochastic model of growth incorporating state-dependent risk and random foraging and climate.
We model the effects of both stochastic and deterministic temperature variations on arthropod predator-prey systems. Specifically, we study the stochastic dynamics of arthropod predator-prey interactions under a vary ing temperature regime, and we develop an individual model of a prey under pressure from a predator, with vigilance (or foraging effort), search rates, at tack rates, and other predation parameters dependent on daily temperature variations. Simulations suggest that an increase in the daily average temperature may benefit both predator and prey. Furthermore, simulations show that anti-predator behavior may indeed decrease predation but at the expense of reduced prey survivorship because of a greater increase in other types of mortality.
Program in Mathematics, College of St. Mary, Omaha, NE 68134, USA. wwolesensky@csm.edu
William
W
Wolesensky
J David
JD
Logan
D025041:Animal Migration; D000818:Animals; D002980:Climate; D017753:Ecosystem; D004777:Environment; D020387:Food Chain; D008954:Models, Biological; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011235:Predatory Behavior; D012306:Risk; D013269:Stochastic Processes; D013696:Temperature; D013997:Time Factors