Stochastic hydrogeology: what professionals really need?
Quantitative hydrogeology celebrated its 150th anniversary in 2006. Geostatistics is younger but has had a very large impact in hydrogeology. Today, geostatistics is used routinely to interpolate deterministically most of the parameters that are required to analyze a problem or make a quantitative analysis. In a small number of cases, geostatistics is combined with deterministic approaches to forecast uncertainty. At a more academic level, geostatistics is used extensively to study physical processes in heterogeneous aquifers. Yet, there is an important gap between the academic use and the routine applications of geostatistics. The reasons for this gap are diverse. These include aspects related to the hydrogeology consulting market, technical reasons such as the lack of widely available software, but also a number of misconceptions. A change in this situation requires acting at different levels. First, regulators must be convinced of the benefit of using geostatistics. Second, the economic potential of the approach must be emphasized to customers. Third, the relevance of the theories needs to be increased. Last, but not least, software, data sets, and computing infrastructure such as grid computing need to be widely available.
Renard
Philippe
P
Centre of Hydrogeology, University of Neuchâtel, 11 Rue Emile Argand, CP 158, CH-2000 Neuchâtel, Switzerland. philippe.renard@unine.ch
D055593:Geological Phenomena; D005844:Geology; D013269:Stochastic Processes; D014872:Water Movements; D014881:Water Supply