title: Can we model the impact of increased drug treatment expenditure on the U.K. drug market?
abstract: This chapter introduces a simulation model to estimate the social costs of problem drug misusers in England and Wales, and how policies to increase the number of drug users in treatment may impact on both social costs and government expenditure. Consequences are divided into five domains--health, crime, social care, work, and driving. Social costs are estimated to be between pound 12 and pound 12.3 billion, and the total cost of government expenditure is around pound 3.5 billion. Increases in the numbers in treatment, are estimated to reduce social costs across a 5-year period by between pound 3.0 and pound 4.4 billion.
authors.affiliation: Department of Health Sciences, Centre for Health Economics, University of York, UK.
authors.forename: Christine
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Godfrey
authors.forename: Steve
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Parrott
authors.forename: Gail
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Eaton
authors.forename: Anthony
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Culyer
authors.forename: Cynthia
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: McDougall
mesh_terms: D004739:England; D005102:Health Expenditures; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D019966:Substance-Related Disorders / Q000191:economics* / Q000628:therapy; D014852:Wales