title: Predicting the economic impact of an invasive species on an ecosystem service.
abstract: Quantifying the impact of alien invasive species on ecosystem services is an essential step in developing effective practices and policy for invasive species management. Here we develop a stochastic bioeconomic model that enables the economic impact of an invasive pest to be estimated before its arrival, based on relatively poorly specified ecological and economic parameters. We developed the model by using a hypothetical invasion of the varroa bee mite (Varroa destructor) into Australia and the negative flow-on effects that it would have on pollination by reducing honey bee populations, giving rise to a loss of pollination services, reduced crop yields, and additional production costs. If the mite were to continue to be prevented from entering the country over the next 30 years, we estimate that the economic costs avoided would be U.S. $16.4-38.8 million (Aus $21.3-50.5 million) per year. We suggest that current invasion response funding arrangements in Australia, which do not acknowledge these avoided damages, require amendment.
authors.affiliation: CSIRO Entomology, Black Mountain, GPO Box 1700, Canberra ACT 2601, Australia. david.c.cook@csiro.au
authors.forename: David C
authors.initials: DC
authors.lastname: Cook
authors.forename: Matthew B
authors.initials: MB
authors.lastname: Thomas
authors.forename: Saul A
authors.initials: SA
authors.lastname: Cunningham
authors.forename: Denis L
authors.initials: DL
authors.lastname: Anderson
authors.forename: Paul J
authors.initials: PJ
authors.lastname: De Barro
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001315:Australia; D001516:Bees / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology; D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources / Q000191:economics / Q000379:methods; D018556:Crops, Agricultural / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology; D017753:Ecosystem; D008925:Mites / Q000254:growth & development*; D054817:Pollination; D011157:Population Dynamics; D013045:Species Specificity