title: Oxygen desaturation during a 4-minute step test: predicting survival in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  PaO2 during exertion is a significant predictor of IPF survival. The aim of study was to assess oxygen desaturation for predicting survival in IPF patients at the end of a 4-minute step test.
  
  
  METHODS
  A longitudinal study was done in 59 patients with IPF from February 1998 to January 2005. Upon initial examination, lung function testing was performed, as were 4-minute step tests, in which patients stepped up and down on a 20-cm single step at a self-paced rate. In the final minute, oxygen saturation by pulse oximetry (SpO2) was measured.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Median survival was 58 months. SpO2 at rest and during stepping, dyspnea score, as well as FVC% and DLCO% were found to be significant predictors of mortality. Desaturation to 89% or less,correlated with a hazard ratio of 2.39 for IPF mortality (95% CI, 1.16-3.63; p < 0.0001). In patients with such desaturation, four-year survival was 39%, compared to 96% in those with no desaturation. In a multivariate Cox analysis, only SpO2 during stepping remained significant (p < 0.0001). A DLco < 45% of predicted (n=40 patients) correlated with a hazard ratio of 2.23 for mortality (95% CI, 0.73-3.71; p < 0.0001). When the analysis was repeated including DLco, SpO2 and DLco remained significant (p < 0.05).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Desaturation to 89% or less in a 4-min step test is a strong predictor of mortality in IPF patients.
authors: Pulmonary Department, Federal University of São Paulo, Brazil.
authors: Samia
authors: S
authors: Stephan
authors: Carlos Alberto
authors: CA
authors: de Castro Pereira
authors: Ester Martins
authors: EM
authors: Coletta
authors: Rimarcs Gomes
authors: RG
authors: Ferreira
authors: Jaquelina Sonoe
authors: JS
authors: Otta
authors: Luiz Eduardo
authors: LE
authors: Nery
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D005080:Exercise Test; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D053208:Kaplan-Meier Estimate; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D010092:Oximetry; D010100:Oxygen / Q000097:blood*; D010101:Oxygen Consumption; D011379:Prognosis; D011658:Pulmonary Fibrosis / Q000401:mortality* / Q000503:physiopathology; D016019:Survival Analysis
chemical_list: D010100:Oxygen