title: Relation between weight size and degree of over-fitting in neural network regression.
abstract: This paper investigates the relation between over-fitting and weight size in neural network regression. The over-fitting of a network to Gaussian noise is discussed. Using re-parametrization, a network function is represented as a bounded function g multiplied by a coefficient c. This is considered to bound the squared sum of the outputs of g at given inputs away from a positive constant delta(n), which restricts the weight size of a network and enables the probabilistic upper bound of the degree of over-fitting to be derived. This reveals that the order of the probabilistic upper bound can change depending on delta(n). By applying the bound to analyze the over-fitting behavior of one Gaussian unit, it is shown that the probability of obtaining an extremely small value for the width parameter in training is close to one when the sample size is large.
authors.affiliation: Mie University, 1577 Kurima-Machiya-cho, Tsu 514-8507, Japan. hagi@edu.mie-u.ac.jp
authors.forename: Katsuyuki
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Hagiwara
authors.forename: Kenji
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Fukumizu
mesh_terms: D049628:Body Size; D006801:Humans; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D016571:Neural Networks, Computer; D012043:Regression, Psychology