title: CD4+ T-lymphocytes natural decrease in HAART-naïve HIV-infected adults in Abidjan.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To study the CD4 natural decrease and its determinants in sub-Saharan African HIV-infected adults.
  
  
  METHODS
  We performed a 7-year prospective cohort study, with biannual CD4 measurement. Follow-up was censored at the first severe morbidity event or at HAART initiation. Changes in CD4 values were studied by jointly modelling (a) the correlation between repeated measures through a linear mixed model and (b) the time to drop-out through a survival model.
  
  
  RESULTS
  690 patients were followed up during 1,382 person-years. Contrasting with the baseline CD4 count and percentage, which were associated with numerous variables, the slopes of both CD4 count and CD4 percentage in the absence of severe morbidity episode were only associated with the follow-up time and with the baseline body mass index (BMI). The mean annual natural decrease in CD4 count (CD4%) was estimated at -81/mm3 (-2.2%), -69/mm3 (-1.7%), and -55/mm3 (-1.2%) for patients with baseline BMI at 16 kg/m2, 20.4 kg/m2, and 25 kg/m2, respectively (p < .001). A steeper decline in the CD4 count was independently associated with a shorter event-free follow-up time.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  These estimates of the CD4 natural decrease in sub-Saharan African patients, while they did not experience any episode of severe morbidity and before they initiate HAART, are in the bracket of those previously reported in industrialized countries. In sub-Saharan African settings with CD4 count being measured less frequently than in industrialized countries, the CD4 should be monitored more closely among adults with low BMI.
authors.affiliation: INSERM U593, Bordeaux, France. Julien.Duvignac@isped.u-bordeaux2.fr
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Duvignac
authors.forename: X
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Anglaret
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Kpozehouen
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Inwoley
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Seyler
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Toure
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Gourvellec
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Messou
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Gabillard
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Thiébaut
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D023241:Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active; D015992:Body Mass Index; D018791:CD4 Lymphocyte Count; D015331:Cohort Studies; D007560:Cote d'Ivoire; D005260:Female; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000276:immunology*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011446:Prospective Studies