title: The Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth as a predictor of recidivism in a United Kingdom cohort of adolescent offenders with conduct disorder.
abstract: This prospective study examined the predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) and the Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version (PCL: YV) in 99 male adolescents who were assessed in custody and followed up 12 months post release. Outcome data on recidivism were based on official Home Office records. The base rates for violent and general recidivism, respectively, were 38.4% and 70.7%. The predictive validity of the SAVRY Risk Total and the SAVRY Risk Rating was moderate for both violent and general recidivism, but both showed incremental validity in predicting outcomes compared with the PCL: YV. Data are discussed in relation to the limited published international literature.
authors.affiliation: Division of Psychiatry, University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom. mdolan@btopenworld.com
authors.forename: Mairead C
authors.initials: MC
authors.lastname: Dolan
authors.forename: Charlotte E
authors.initials: CE
authors.lastname: Rennie
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000294:Adolescent Behavior / Q000523:psychology; D015331:Cohort Studies; D019955:Conduct Disorder / Q000523:psychology*; D003415:Crime / Q000523:psychology / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D007406:Interview, Psychological / Q000379:methods; D007604:Juvenile Delinquency / Q000523:psychology* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D008297:Male; D010552:Personality Assessment / Q000592:standards* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012372:ROC Curve; D012008:Recurrence; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012307:Risk Factors; D006113:United Kingdom; D014754:Violence / Q000523:psychology* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data