title: Impending epidemic: future projection of heart failure in Japan to the year 2055.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  The future burden of heart failure in Japan was projected to 2055 in order to prospectively estimate of the number of these patients.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The statistics are based on prevalence data of left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) in Sado City using the Sado Heart Failure Study (2003) and population estimates from the Japanese National Institute of Population and Social Security Research Report (2006). The number of Japanese outpatients with LVD was 979,000 in 2005, and is predicted to increase gradually as the population ages, reaching 1.3 million by 2030.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  LVD is expected to precipitate a future epidemic of heart failure in Japan.
authors.affiliation: Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan. okuray@med.niigata-u.ac.jp
authors.forename: Yuji
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Okura
authors.forename: Mahmoud M
authors.initials: MM
authors.lastname: Ramadan
authors.forename: Yukiko
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Ohno
authors.forename: Wataru
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Mitsuma
authors.forename: Komei
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Tanaka
authors.forename: Masahiro
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Ito
authors.forename: Keisuke
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Suzuki
authors.forename: Naohito
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Tanabe
authors.forename: Makoto
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Kodama
authors.forename: Yoshifusa
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Aizawa
mesh_terms: D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D006305:Health Status Indicators; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000208:ethnology; D006801:Humans; D007564:Japan; D015995:Prevalence; D011446:Prospective Studies; D018487:Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000208:ethnology