Radon anomaly in soil gas as an earthquake precursor.
The mechanical processes of earthquake preparation are always accompanied by deformations; afterwards, the complex short- or long-term precursory phenomena can appear. Anomalies of radon concentrations in soil gas are registered a few weeks or months before many earthquakes. Radon concentrations in soil gas were continuously measured by the LR-115 nuclear track detectors at site A (Osijek) during a 4-year period, as well as by the Barasol semiconductor detector at site B (Kasina) during 2 years. We investigated the influence of the meteorological parameters on the temporal radon variations, and we determined the equation of the multiple regression that enabled the reduction (deconvolution) of the radon variation caused by the barometric pressure, rainfall and temperature. The pre-earthquake radon anomalies at site A indicated 46% of the seismic events, on criterion M>or=3, R<200 km, and 21% at site B. Empirical equations between earthquake magnitude, epicenter distance and precursor time enabled estimation or prediction of an earthquake that will rise at the epicenter distance R from the monitoring site in expecting precursor time T.
Miklavcić
I
I
Department of Physics, University of Osijek, Trg Ljudevita Gaja 6, POB 125, 31000 Osijek, Croatia.
Radolić
V
V
Vuković
B
B
Poje
M
M
Varga
M
M
Stanić
D
D
Planinić
J
J
D004190:Disasters; D005544:Forecasting; D005740:Gases / Q000032:analysis*; D011886:Radon / Q000032:analysis*; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D012990:Soil Pollutants, Radioactive / Q000032:analysis*
D005740:Gases; D012990:Soil Pollutants, Radioactive; D011886:Radon