Controlling the number of HIV infectives in a mobile population.
The spread of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) depends prominently on the migration of people between different regions. An important consequence of this population mobility is that HIV control strategies that are optimal in a regional sense may not be optimal in a national sense. We formulate various mathematical control problems for HIV spread in mobile heterosexual populations, and show how optimal regional control strategies can be obtained that minimize the national spread of HIV. We apply the cross-entropy method to solve these highly multi-modal and non-linear optimization problems. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the method via a range of experiments and illustrate how the form of the optimal control function depends on the mathematical model used for the HIV spread.
Sani
A
A
Department of Mathematics, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia. asani@maths.uq.edu.au
Kroese
D P
DP
D016358:Contact Tracing / Q000379:methods*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000517:prevention & control*; D018562:Disease Transmission, Infectious / Q000517:prevention & control; D006678:HIV / Q000472:pathogenicity*; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission*; D020010:Heterosexuality; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D012040:Regional Health Planning / Q000379:methods; D012307:Risk Factors; D014171:Transients and Migrants