Forecasts of future terrain and vegetation types at Olkiluoto and implications for spatial and temporal aspects of biosphere modelling.
In Finland, a nuclear repository site is situated on the western coast where the current land uplift rate is 6mm/yr. A set of tools has been developed for predicting the future terrain and vegetation types, and for producing estimates of the site-specific parameter values for use in simplified radionuclide transport models. Although the landscape will change considerably within the next millennia, the likely changes are relatively predictable. By comparing the results to the site data, the effect of human activities can be at least partially quantified.
Ikonen
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Posiva Oy, Olkiluoto, 27160 Eurajoki, Finland. ari.ikonen@posiva.fi
Aro
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Leppänen
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D003198:Computer Simulation; D004777:Environment; D004781:Environmental Exposure / Q000032:analysis*; D005387:Finland; D005544:Forecasting; D008954:Models, Biological; D018521:Plant Physiological Phenomena; D011829:Radiation Dosage; D011834:Radiation Monitoring / Q000379:methods*; D012062:Relative Biological Effectiveness; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity