Ambulatory ECG-based T-wave alternans predicts sudden cardiac death in high-risk post-MI patients with left ventricular dysfunction in the EPHESUS study.
BACKGROUND
Exercise microvolt T-wave alternans (TWA) identifies sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk. TWA can be measured from ambulatory ECGs (AECGs) using modified moving average (MMA) method. Whether MMA TWA from AECGs predicts SCD in post-MI patients with left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) is unknown.


METHODS
EPHESUS enrolled hospitalized post-MI patients with heart failure and/or diabetes with LVD. Before randomization to drug treatment, AECGs were obtained in 493 patients. Of them, 46 died of cardiovascular causes, including 18 of SCD. Patients alive at end of follow-up (N = 92) were matched with 46 nonsurvivors based on age, gender, and diabetes. MMA TWA was analyzed using MARSPC system (GE Healthcare, Milwaukee, WI, USA). The three highest TWA values from artifact-free periods were averaged for AECG channels corresponding to leads V(1) and V(3). SCD prediction was tested with a prespecified 47 microV cutpoint and at a cutpoint maximizing the separation between SCD patients versus survivors or non-SCD.


RESULTS
TWA in either lead was higher for patients with SCD (P < or = 0.05) versus survivors or non-SCD. TWA > or = 47 microV was associated with RR = 5.2 (95%CI = 1.8-13.6, P = 0.002) in V(1) and RR = 5.5 (95% CI = 2.2-13.8, P < 0.001) in V(3) for SCD. The optimal cutpoint for TWA in V(1) was > or = 43 microV (RR = 5.9 [95%CI = 2.2-15.8, P < 0.001]). The optimal cutpoint in V(3) was > or = 47 microV. TWA greater than the optimal cutpoint in either lead was associated with RR = 7.1 (95%CI = 2.7-18.3, P < 0.001) for SCD, with 11 out of 18 patients dying of SCD.


CONCLUSIONS
AECG-based TWA measured with MMA is a powerful predictor of SCD in high-risk post-MI patients with LV dysfunction.
Stein
Phyllis K
PK
Washington University School of Medicine HRV Lab, 4625 Lindell Blvd., Suite 402, St. Louis, Missouri, 63108, USA. pstein@im.wustl.edu
Sanghavi
Devang
D
Domitrovich
Peter P
PP
Mackey
Robert A
RA
Deedwania
Prakash
P
D015897:Comorbidity; D016757:Death, Sudden, Cardiac / Q000453:epidemiology*; D004311:Double-Blind Method; D015716:Electrocardiography, Ambulatory / Q000379:methods / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D038622:Internationality; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000401:mortality*; D016032:Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods*; D012307:Risk Factors; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D018487:Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000401:mortality*