title: Modelling of Hampshire Adult Services--gearing up for future demands.
abstract: This paper describes a study to investigate future demand from older people for social care services in Hampshire, UK. The study used system dynamics to explore the significant challenges of an ageing population in the context of budget limitations. The results show that as anticipated, the numbers requiring care will increase considerably over the next 5 years. The effects of two possible interventions to reduce the impact of this are explored.
authors.affiliation: School of Management, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
authors.forename: Mitul Shivam
authors.initials: MS
authors.lastname: Desai
authors.forename: Marion Louise
authors.initials: ML
authors.lastname: Penn
authors.forename: Sally
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Brailsford
authors.forename: Max
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Chipulu
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D000375:Aging; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006699:Home Care Services / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012947:Social Work / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006113:United Kingdom