Deaths from bacterial pneumonia during 1918-19 influenza pandemic.
Deaths during the 1918-19 influenza pandemic have been attributed to a hypervirulent influenza strain. Hence, preparations for the next pandemic focus almost exclusively on vaccine prevention and antiviral treatment for infections with a novel influenza strain. However, we hypothesize that infections with the pandemic strain generally caused self-limited (rarely fatal) illnesses that enabled colonizing strains of bacteria to produce highly lethal pneumonias. This sequential-infection hypothesis is consistent with characteristics of the 1918-19 pandemic, contemporaneous expert opinion, and current knowledge regarding the pathophysiologic effects of influenza viruses and their interactions with respiratory bacteria. This hypothesis suggests opportunities for prevention and treatment during the next pandemic (e.g., with bacterial vaccines and antimicrobial drugs), particularly if a pandemic strain-specific vaccine is unavailable or inaccessible to isolated, crowded, or medically underserved populations.
Brundage
John F
JF
Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center, Silver Spring, Maryland 20910, USA. john.brundage@na.amedd.army.mil
Shanks
G Dennis
GD
D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D049673:History, 20th Century; D006801:Humans; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000150:complications* / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000266:history* / Q000401:mortality; D009975:Orthomyxoviridae / Q000472:pathogenicity; D018410:Pneumonia, Bacterial / Q000150:complications / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000266:history* / Q000401:mortality*; D014774:Virulence