title: The future of predictive microbiology: strategic research, innovative applications and great expectations.
abstract: This paper considers the future of predictive microbiology by exploring the balance that exists between science, applications and expectations. Attention is drawn to the development of predictive microbiology as a sub-discipline of food microbiology and of technologies that are required for its applications, including a recently developed biological indicator. As we move into the era of systems biology, in which physiological and molecular information will be increasingly available for incorporation into models, predictive microbiologists will be faced with new experimental and data handling challenges. Overcoming these hurdles may be assisted by interacting with microbiologists and mathematicians developing models to describe the microbial role in ecosystems other than food. Coupled with a commitment to maintain strategic research, as well as to develop innovative technologies, the future of predictive microbiology looks set to fulfil "great expectations".
authors.affiliation: Food Safety Centre, School of Agricultural Science and Tasmanian Institute of Agricultural Research, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 54, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia 7001. Tom.McMeekin@utas.edu.au
authors.forename: Tom
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: McMeekin
authors.forename: John
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Bowman
authors.forename: Olivia
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: McQuestin
authors.forename: Lyndal
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Mellefont
authors.forename: Tom
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Ross
authors.forename: Mark
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Tamplin
mesh_terms: D001419:Bacteria / Q000254:growth & development*; D005516:Food Microbiology; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D007700:Kinetics; D008433:Mathematics; D008954:Models, Biological; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012106:Research / Q000458:organization & administration*; D018570:Risk Assessment