title: Deaths from norovirus among the elderly, England and Wales.
abstract: The number of deaths in England and Wales associated with gastrointestinal pathogens, norovirus in particular, in persons >or=65 years was estimated for 2001-2006. Regression analysis was used to model monthly counts of gastrointestinal pathogens in fecal samples from infected patients against monthly counts of deaths from infectious and noninfectious intestinal diseases. Data came from the Office of National Statistics (death registrations from local registrars) and from the Health Protection Agency (laboratory results). Model results suggest that 20% (13.3%-26.8%) of deaths in persons >or=65 years of age caused by infectious intestinal disease other than Clostridium difficile were associated with norovirus infection in this period and that 13% (7.5%-18.5%) of deaths caused by noninfectious intestinal disease were associated with norovirus. An estimated 80 deaths each year in this age group may be associated with norovirus infection.
authors.affiliation: Centre for Infections, GEZI, Health Protection Agency, London, UK. john.harris@hpa.org.uk
authors.forename: John P
authors.initials: JP
authors.lastname: Harris
authors.forename: W John
authors.initials: WJ
authors.lastname: Edmunds
authors.forename: Richard
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Pebody
authors.forename: David W
authors.initials: DW
authors.lastname: Brown
authors.forename: Ben A
authors.initials: BA
authors.lastname: Lopman
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D017250:Caliciviridae Infections / Q000401:mortality*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D004739:England / Q000453:epidemiology; D005260:Female; D005759:Gastroenteritis / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D015233:Models, Statistical; D029322:Norovirus; D012044:Regression Analysis; D012621:Seasons; D014852:Wales / Q000453:epidemiology