title: A unified degree day model describes survivorship of Copitarsia corruda Pogue & Simmons (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) at different constant temperatures.
abstract: Predictions of survivorship are critical to quantify the probability of establishment by an alien invasive species, but survival curves rarely distinguish between the effects of temperature on development versus senescence. We report chronological and physiological age-based survival curves for a potentially invasive noctuid, recently described as Copitarsia corruda Pogue & Simmons, collected from Peru and reared on asparagus at six constant temperatures between 9.7 and 34.5 degrees C. Copitarsia spp. are not known to occur in the United States but are routinely intercepted at ports of entry. Chronological age survival curves differ significantly among temperatures. Survivorship at early age after hatch is greatest at lower temperatures and declines as temperature increases. Mean longevity was 220 (+/-13 SEM) days at 9.7 degrees C. Physiological age survival curves constructed with developmental base temperature (7.2 degrees C) did not correspond to those constructed with a senescence base temperature (5.9 degrees C). A single degree day survival curve with an appropriate temperature threshold based on senescence adequately describes survivorship under non-stress temperature conditions (5.9-24.9 degrees C).
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, University of North Dakota, 10 Cornell Street, Stop 9019, Grand Forks, ND 58202, USA.
authors.forename: N N
authors.initials: NN
authors.lastname: Gómez
authors.forename: R C
authors.initials: RC
authors.lastname: Venette
authors.forename: J R
authors.initials: JR
authors.lastname: Gould
authors.forename: D F
authors.initials: DF
authors.lastname: Winograd
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D005260:Female; D007814:Larva / Q000254:growth & development; D008297:Male; D008954:Models, Biological; D009036:Moths / Q000254:growth & development / Q000502:physiology*; D016019:Survival Analysis; D013696:Temperature