title: Time-correlations in the dynamics of hazardous material pipelines incidents.
abstract: This paper addresses the following question: Are the hazardous materials pipeline incidents non-randomly time distributed? Our analysis suggests that they are correlated, which means that a hazardous materials pipeline incident is not independent from the time elapsed since the previous event. That is, our statistical tests suggest that previous accident counts correlate with future counts. But, if we consider incidents with a large severity index (spills and property damage), the phenomenon is unpredictable, since it approaches a Poissonian process (random, independent and uncorrelated).
authors.affiliation: Instituto Mexicano del Petroleo, Programa de Investigación y Desarrollo en Ductos, Col San Bartolo Atepehuacan, Mexico, DF, Mexico.
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Sosa
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Alvarez-Ramirez
mesh_terms: D000059:Accidents / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D003264:Containment of Biohazards; D015386:Hazardous Substances; D016012:Poisson Distribution; D016008:Statistical Distributions; D013997:Time Factors
chemical_list: D015386:Hazardous Substances